PoliticsActiveends Dec 9, 2026

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

77.5¢

No

22.5¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 29 tracked sharps

Strong

Yes 91%No 9%

Include 21 outside the consensus pool30 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0xe033…40a5	Yes	$166.3k	64.7¢	2027×	+56%	15%	Sharp
0x3a8a…7699	Yes	$156.3k	75.2¢	165×	+29%	73%	Sharp
0xa309…4cf2	Yes	$105.3k	41.2¢	137×	+33%	57%	Sharp
0xcf19…6402	No	$51.6k	25.8¢	196×	+161%	68%	Profitable
0xbe89…b88c	Yes	$38.5k	79.3¢	109×	+12%	50%	Sharp
0x7cf9…2798	Yes	$37.1k	70.0¢	49×	+10%	43%	Sharp
0x71dd…d61c	Yes	$12.9k	81.4¢	47×	+31%	43%	Sharp
0x6d6f…0f95	Yes	$11.6k	77.1¢	75×	+16%	70%	Sharp
0x5b91…2709	Yes	$3.7k	74.3¢	31×	+8%	51%	Sharp
0xbf96…9942	Yes	$3.2k	70.0¢	7.1×	+8%	72%	Sharp
0x2458…f8e7	Yes	$3.1k	78.0¢	40×	+98%	40%	Sharp
0x7124…70c1	Yes	$1.7k	83.0¢	6.9×	+13%	63%	Sharp
0xd52b…5c72	Yes	$1.1k	74.0¢	9.4×	+26%	27%	Sharp
0xc3da…41fe	Yes	$999	77.0¢	4.5×	+76%	35%	Sharp
0xa82b…5220	Yes	$700	70.0¢	7.2×	+28%	41%	Sharp
0x1693…5d20	Yes	$575	78.0¢	4.7×	+86%	64%	Sharp
0x392a…262d	Yes	$402	67.0¢	5.6×	+9%	57%	Sharp
0x2478…2e62	Yes	$395	79.0¢	7.7×	+15%	44%	Sharp
0x8f57…bf51	Yes	$350	70.0¢	7.2×	+21%	78%	Sharp
0x215a…254c	Yes	$246	57.0¢	2.1×	+18%	29%	Sharp
0xd9fe…db0d	Yes	$146	54.4¢	47×	+7%	42%	Sharp
0x71e1…45f0	No	$83	30.7¢	1.1×	+10%	41%	Sharp
0x71e1…45f0	Yes	$72	60.2¢	0.9×	+10%	41%	Sharp
0x03d6…81c3	Yes	$60	77.0¢	5.0×	+27%	86%	Sharp
0x9e90…373f	Yes	$38	76.0¢	0.2×	+9%	80%	Sharp
0xc5bd…ceaa	Yes	$34	75.0¢	1.0×	+21%	49%	Sharp
0x29a5…7752	Yes	$33	82.6¢	1.7×	+29%	54%	Profitable
0x3825…04e8	No	$25	50.0¢	2.1×	+8%	59%	Sharp
0xa288…f80f	Yes	$20	29.0¢	2.7×	+52%	55%	Profitable
0xca97…5409	Yes	$13	75.0¢	0.6×	+22%	52%	Sharp

0xe033…40a5Sharp

Yes$166.3k @ 64.7¢

Conv: 2027×
ROI: +56%
Win%: 15%

0x3a8a…7699Sharp

Yes$156.3k @ 75.2¢

Conv: 165×
ROI: +29%
Win%: 73%

0xa309…4cf2Sharp

Yes$105.3k @ 41.2¢

Conv: 137×
ROI: +33%
Win%: 57%

0xcf19…6402Profitable

No$51.6k @ 25.8¢

Conv: 196×
ROI: +161%
Win%: 68%

0xbe89…b88cSharp

Yes$38.5k @ 79.3¢

Conv: 109×
ROI: +12%
Win%: 50%

0x7cf9…2798Sharp

Yes$37.1k @ 70.0¢

Conv: 49×
ROI: +10%
Win%: 43%

0x71dd…d61cSharp

Yes$12.9k @ 81.4¢

Conv: 47×
ROI: +31%
Win%: 43%

0x6d6f…0f95Sharp

Yes$11.6k @ 77.1¢

Conv: 75×
ROI: +16%
Win%: 70%

0x5b91…2709Sharp

Yes$3.7k @ 74.3¢

Conv: 31×
ROI: +8%
Win%: 51%

0xbf96…9942Sharp

Yes$3.2k @ 70.0¢

Conv: 7.1×
ROI: +8%
Win%: 72%

0x2458…f8e7Sharp

Yes$3.1k @ 78.0¢

Conv: 40×
ROI: +98%
Win%: 40%

0x7124…70c1Sharp

Yes$1.7k @ 83.0¢

Conv: 6.9×
ROI: +13%
Win%: 63%

0xd52b…5c72Sharp

Yes$1.1k @ 74.0¢

Conv: 9.4×
ROI: +26%
Win%: 27%

0xc3da…41feSharp

Yes$999 @ 77.0¢

Conv: 4.5×
ROI: +76%
Win%: 35%

0xa82b…5220Sharp

Yes$700 @ 70.0¢

Conv: 7.2×
ROI: +28%
Win%: 41%

0x1693…5d20Sharp

Yes$575 @ 78.0¢

Conv: 4.7×
ROI: +86%
Win%: 64%

0x392a…262dSharp

Yes$402 @ 67.0¢

Conv: 5.6×
ROI: +9%
Win%: 57%

0x2478…2e62Sharp

Yes$395 @ 79.0¢

Conv: 7.7×
ROI: +15%
Win%: 44%

0x8f57…bf51Sharp

Yes$350 @ 70.0¢

Conv: 7.2×
ROI: +21%
Win%: 78%

0x215a…254cSharp

Yes$246 @ 57.0¢

Conv: 2.1×
ROI: +18%
Win%: 29%

0xd9fe…db0dSharp

Yes$146 @ 54.4¢

Conv: 47×
ROI: +7%
Win%: 42%

0x71e1…45f0Sharp

No$83 @ 30.7¢

Conv: 1.1×
ROI: +10%
Win%: 41%

0x71e1…45f0Sharp

Yes$72 @ 60.2¢

Conv: 0.9×
ROI: +10%
Win%: 41%

0x03d6…81c3Sharp

Yes$60 @ 77.0¢

Conv: 5.0×
ROI: +27%
Win%: 86%

0x9e90…373fSharp

Yes$38 @ 76.0¢

Conv: 0.2×
ROI: +9%
Win%: 80%

0xc5bd…ceaaSharp

Yes$34 @ 75.0¢

Conv: 1.0×
ROI: +21%
Win%: 49%

0x29a5…7752Profitable

Yes$33 @ 82.6¢

Conv: 1.7×
ROI: +29%
Win%: 54%

0x3825…04e8Sharp

No$25 @ 50.0¢

Conv: 2.1×
ROI: +8%
Win%: 59%

0xa288…f80fProfitable

Yes$20 @ 29.0¢

Conv: 2.7×
ROI: +52%
Win%: 55%

0xca97…5409Sharp

Yes$13 @ 75.0¢

Conv: 0.6×
ROI: +22%
Win%: 52%