← Smart money
0x71e1…45f0
SharpEdge
+8.9pp
ROI
+13%
Win rate
42% @ 33.6¢
Brier
0.178
Resolved
8386
Avg size
$74
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 48% (159/334) | +15% | 334 |
| Politics | 50% (20/40) | -3% | 40 |
| Sports | 43% (13/30) | -8% | 30 |
| Tech | 53% (8/15) | +2% | 15 |
| Culture | 100% (4/4) | +1% | 4 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | -74% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +28% | 1 |
- Other334 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (159/334)
- ROI
- +15%
- Politics40 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (20/40)
- ROI
- -3%
- Sports30 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (13/30)
- ROI
- -8%
- Tech15 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (8/15)
- ROI
- +2%
- Culture4 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (4/4)
- ROI
- +1%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -74%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +28%
Track record
48% hit · 206/426- Yes$2.1k @ 75.0¢
- Under$1.8k @ 46.1¢
- Cerundolo$56 @ 80.0¢
- Darderi$28 @ 26.7¢
- No$57 @ 38.0¢
- Nuggets$3.9k @ 73.0¢
- Trail Blazers$1.4k @ 26.0¢
- No$2.4k @ 50.1¢
- No$19 @ 25.0¢
- Tennessee Volunteers$1.3k @ 24.0¢
- Iowa State Cyclones$4.9k @ 59.9¢
- Kentucky Wildcats$3.8k @ 32.6¢
- Kolkata Knight Riders$67 @ 44.3¢
- Sunrisers Hyderabad$25 @ 49.0¢
- No$212 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$182 @ 11.4¢
- Michigan Wolverines$7.3k @ 50.7¢
- Yes$400 @ 19.2¢
- No$86 @ 81.0¢
- Arizona Wildcats$8.3k @ 77.0¢
- Arkansas Razorbacks$2.0k @ 22.2¢
- No$1.3k @ 76.1¢
- Yes$19 @ 3.5¢
- No$157 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$5.7k @ 25.8¢
- No$878 @ 40.3¢
- Yes$41 @ 44.0¢
- No$42 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$593 @ 9.0¢
- No$98 @ 27.2¢
- Yes$145 @ 44.8¢
- Yes$469 @ 4.9¢
- Hornets$107 @ 2.8¢
- Over$686 @ 68.0¢
- Under$2.1k @ 49.4¢
- Yes$64 @ 49.0¢
- No$125 @ 83.0¢
- No$1.7k @ 34.9¢
- Yes$112 @ 4.3¢
- Over$799 @ 51.9¢
- Under$1.2k @ 47.0¢
- Yes$43 @ 39.5¢
- Over$3.2k @ 86.7¢
- Walton$7 @ 11.5¢
- No$114 @ 75.0¢
- Michigan Wolverines$273 @ 88.0¢
- Tennessee Volunteers$51 @ 0.6¢
- No$18 @ 3.7¢
- Over$96 @ 48.0¢
- No$1.4k @ 9.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?GeopoliticsYes$9.5k @ 52.8¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$3.3k @ 90.8¢
- No$1.2k @ 36.5¢
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.2k @ 27.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 66.0¢
- No$900 @ 70.4¢
- Yes$812 @ 20.2¢
- Yes$594 @ 33.0¢
- No$578 @ 28.4¢
- No$315 @ 78.6¢
- Yes$293 @ 67.2¢
- No$288 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$271 @ 60.9¢
- No$269 @ 67.7¢
- Yes$246 @ 61.5¢
- No$193 @ 85.8¢
- No$143 @ 75.1¢
- Yes$138 @ 27.1¢
- No$135 @ 67.5¢
- Yes$126 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$125 @ 12.3¢
- No$98 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$95 @ 63.4¢
- No$93 @ 93.0¢
- Yes$91 @ 76.2¢
- Yes$86 @ 64.8¢
- No$83 @ 30.7¢
- Yes$79 @ 4.5¢
- No$77 @ 76.7¢
- Yes$72 @ 60.2¢