← Smart money
0x71e1…45f0
SharpEdge
+6.0pp
ROI
+15%
Win rate
40% @ 33.7¢
Brier
0.153
Resolved
1190
Avg size
$145
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 48% (24/50) | +27% | 50 |
| Sports | 25% (2/8) | +11% | 8 |
| Politics | 50% (1/2) | -54% | 2 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | -74% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +28% | 1 |
- Other50 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (24/50)
- ROI
- +27%
- Sports8 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (2/8)
- ROI
- +11%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -54%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -74%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +28%
Track record
46% hit · 29/63- No$19 @ 25.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 76.1¢
- Yes$19 @ 3.5¢
- Hornets$107 @ 2.8¢
- Over$686 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$112 @ 4.3¢
- No$8 @ 2.0¢
- No$1.4k @ 9.6¢
- Yes$9.7k @ 81.9¢
- No$3.8k @ 85.0¢
- Yes$6.0k @ 30.1¢
- Yes$93 @ 43.0¢
- Fnatic$32 @ 47.4¢
- Solary$47 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 48.8¢
- Thunder$4.6k @ 84.0¢
- Detroit Tigers$21 @ 69.0¢
- Team Vitality$172 @ 3.8¢
- Warriors$710 @ 47.3¢
- Yes$79 @ 1.5¢
- Over$24 @ 51.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 89.0¢
- Suns$1.3k @ 83.3¢
- Yes$14 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$125 @ 41.7¢
- Yes$265 @ 3.3¢
- Fnatic$0 @ 19.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 67.3¢
- Yes$167 @ 30.0¢
- No$11.9k @ 85.2¢
- Yes$256 @ 2.2¢
- Los Angeles Dodgers$51 @ 34.0¢
- Toronto Blue Jays$322 @ 65.1¢
- Under$720 @ 80.0¢
- Galions$1.7k @ 77.8¢
- SK Gaming$205 @ 3.5¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
- Magic vs. 76ersLostMagic$35 @ 7.0¢
- Karmine Corp$8.0k @ 77.8¢
- SK Gaming$1.2k @ 19.3¢
- Yes$60 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$130 @ 24.0¢
- No$5.3k @ 53.2¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 40.7¢
- No$432 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$3.7k @ 51.8¢
- Magic$747 @ 67.6¢
- Under$1.4k @ 89.0¢
- No$2.8k @ 70.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 22.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?GeopoliticsYes$9.5k @ 52.8¢
- No$6.3k @ 88.0¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$3.3k @ 90.8¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 75.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 36.5¢
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.2k @ 27.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 66.0¢
- No$900 @ 70.4¢
- Yes$594 @ 33.0¢
- No$565 @ 29.2¢
- Yes$125 @ 12.3¢
- Yes$81 @ 5.9¢
- Yes$79 @ 79.0¢
- No$72 @ 71.9¢
- Yes$44 @ 27.1¢
- Yes$44 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 12.6¢
- No$37 @ 77.8¢
- Yes$22 @ 9.6¢
- No$20 @ 20.0¢
- No$19 @ 18.8¢
- Yes$17 @ 69.8¢
- Yes$15 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 29.9¢
- No$5 @ 50.0¢
- No$4 @ 82.0¢
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$1 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 4.2¢