0x9e90…373f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9e9020fc48ad48fa31a2dcc8d0de36ea9b37373f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.8pp

ROI

+9%

Win rate

80% @ 71.4¢

Brier

0.115

Resolved

424

Avg size

$198

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	68% (38/56)	+9%	56
Sports	71% (10/14)	+19%	14
Politics	80% (4/5)	+9%	5

Other56 bets
Hit rate
68% (38/56)
ROI
+9%
Sports14 bets
Hit rate
71% (10/14)
ROI
+19%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
80% (4/5)
ROI
+9%

Track record

69% hit · 52/75

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?	Yes	$30	74.0¢	Won
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$46	68.0¢	Won
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?	No	$511	82.8¢	Lost
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$45	67.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$522	87.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 23?	No	$160	40.0¢	Lost
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner	KT Rolster	$1.1k	58.0¢	Won
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner	T1	$910	53.8¢	Lost
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	$21	3.1¢	Lost
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$73	88.0¢	Won
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?	Yes	$1.2k	86.0¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$77	88.0¢	Won
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	49.2¢	Won
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?	No	$1.0k	80.0¢	Lost
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?	Yes	$164	82.0¢	Won
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$275	55.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$267	89.0¢	Won
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?	No	$69	86.0¢	Won
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	$205	37.0¢	Won
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?	No	$8.1k	81.0¢	Won
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?	Yes	$120	10.0¢	Lost
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	$40	63.0¢	Won
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	$3.1k	89.9¢	Won
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$566	71.9¢	Lost
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	$340	85.0¢	Won
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?	No	$3.1k	32.2¢	Lost
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?	Yes	$7.0k	78.0¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$28	13.8¢	Won
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	$356	89.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	$66	81.0¢	Won
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	$600	36.0¢	Won
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	$970	60.6¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?	No	$1.5k	83.1¢	Won
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?	Yes	$2.4k	34.2¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	No	$393	82.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$3	64.0¢	Won
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$171	57.0¢	Won
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	$71	84.0¢	Won
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	$924	84.0¢	Won
TikTok sale announced by October 31?	No	$684	88.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?	No	$334	83.5¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?	Yes	$187	55.0¢	Lost
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$51	18.5¢	Lost
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$3	3.4¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China by November 30?	No	$455	83.2¢	Lost
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?	Yes	$6.4k	85.7¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$765	46.1¢	Lost
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	$12	12.2¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	$1.4k	49.8¢	Won
Maduro out in 2025?	No	$2.1k	81.9¢	Won

Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?Won
Yes$30 @ 74.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$46 @ 68.0¢
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?Lost
No$511 @ 82.8¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$45 @ 67.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$522 @ 87.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 23?Lost
No$160 @ 40.0¢
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerWon
KT Rolster$1.1k @ 58.0¢
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerLost
T1$910 @ 53.8¢
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Lost
Yes$21 @ 3.1¢
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Won
Yes$73 @ 88.0¢
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 86.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$77 @ 88.0¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 49.2¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Lost
No$1.0k @ 80.0¢
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Won
Yes$164 @ 82.0¢
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$275 @ 55.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$267 @ 89.0¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?Won
No$69 @ 86.0¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Won
Yes$205 @ 37.0¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Won
No$8.1k @ 81.0¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Lost
Yes$120 @ 10.0¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?Won
Yes$40 @ 63.0¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Won
Yes$3.1k @ 89.9¢
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
Yes$566 @ 71.9¢
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Won
No$340 @ 85.0¢
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Lost
No$3.1k @ 32.2¢
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Won
Yes$7.0k @ 78.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$28 @ 13.8¢
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Won
No$356 @ 89.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Won
Yes$66 @ 81.0¢
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Won
No$600 @ 36.0¢
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Lost
Yes$970 @ 60.6¢
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?Won
No$1.5k @ 83.1¢
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?Lost
Yes$2.4k @ 34.2¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Won
No$393 @ 82.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$3 @ 64.0¢
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Won
Yes$171 @ 57.0¢
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?Won
Yes$71 @ 84.0¢
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Won
No$924 @ 84.0¢
TikTok sale announced by October 31?Won
No$684 @ 88.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?Won
No$334 @ 83.5¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?Lost
Yes$187 @ 55.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$51 @ 18.5¢
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.4¢
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China by November 30?Lost
No$455 @ 83.2¢
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?Won
Yes$6.4k @ 85.7¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$765 @ 46.1¢
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Lost
Yes$12 @ 12.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 49.8¢
Maduro out in 2025?Won
No$2.1k @ 81.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$882	80.2¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Politics	Yes	$781	79.1¢
Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	Politics	Yes	$631	82.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$38	76.0¢

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics
Yes$882 @ 80.2¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics
Yes$781 @ 79.1¢
Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Politics
Yes$631 @ 82.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$38 @ 76.0¢