0xc3da…41fe

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc3daa1bb9ce85866fb1a7c3a5d02816798e641fe
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+15.8pp

ROI

+76%

Win rate

35% @ 19.0¢

Brier

0.128

Resolved

1155

Avg size

$222

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	38% (3/8)	+72%	8
Other	25% (1/4)	-81%	4
Geopolitics	67% (2/3)	+125%	3
Economy	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Politics8 bets
Hit rate
38% (3/8)
ROI
+72%
Other4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-81%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+125%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

33% hit · 6/18

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	$6.0k	57.3¢	Lost
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	$43.0k	70.9¢	Won
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	$290	19.7¢	Won
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$849	60.0¢	Won
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$6.4k	28.8¢	Lost
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	No	$720	49.9¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2.7k	8.0¢	Lost
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	$1.4k	31.7¢	Won
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	$3.1k	41.1¢	Lost
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	$144	2.2¢	Lost
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$975	80.0¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2.5k	0.6¢	Lost
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$27	3.2¢	Lost
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$743	6.3¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$188.7k	41.7¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$58.8k	15.9¢	Lost
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$441	22.8¢	Lost
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	No	$4.3k	8.8¢	Lost

Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?Lost
No$6.0k @ 57.3¢
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$43.0k @ 70.9¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$290 @ 19.7¢
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$849 @ 60.0¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$6.4k @ 28.8¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Lost
No$720 @ 49.9¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$2.7k @ 8.0¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 31.7¢
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Lost
Yes$3.1k @ 41.1¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$144 @ 2.2¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$975 @ 80.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$2.5k @ 0.6¢
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$27 @ 3.2¢
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$743 @ 6.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$188.7k @ 41.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$58.8k @ 15.9¢
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$441 @ 22.8¢
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Lost
No$4.3k @ 8.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$21.0k	85.5¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Politics	Yes	$8.8k	37.4¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	Tech	No	$6.0k	57.3¢
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$4.0k	41.9¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$2.5k	9.3¢
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Economy	Yes	$910	16.6¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Economy	Yes	$450	85.8¢

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$21.0k @ 85.5¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Politics
Yes$8.8k @ 37.4¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?Tech
No$6.0k @ 57.3¢
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$4.0k @ 41.9¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$2.5k @ 9.3¢
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Economy
Yes$910 @ 16.6¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Economy
Yes$450 @ 85.8¢