0x2458…f8e7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x2458489f779c836fc773135d81b08ead95ccf8e7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.7pp

ROI

+94%

Win rate

26% @ 17.4¢

Brier

0.104

Resolved

256

Avg size

$79

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	17% (2/12)	-67%	12
Sports	11% (1/9)	+270%	9
Politics	40% (2/5)	+1%	5
Economy	25% (1/4)	+109%	4

Other12 bets
Hit rate
17% (2/12)
ROI
-67%
Sports9 bets
Hit rate
11% (1/9)
ROI
+270%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
+1%
Economy4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
+109%

Track record

20% hit · 6/30

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?	Yes	$20	80.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	$35	46.0¢	Lost
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	$46	45.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	$13	6.6¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20?	Yes	$10	19.0¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$31	14.9¢	Lost
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$16	1.6¢	Lost
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	$14	8.0¢	Lost
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$8	0.8¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of March 30 2026?	Yes	$47	46.6¢	Won
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?	Yes	$14	7.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	$60	15.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$129	12.6¢	Won
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$6	5.4¢	Lost
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	$17.0k	47.5¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	Yes	$100	47.9¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?	Yes	$30	54.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$144	34.8¢	Won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance	Croatia	$15	30.3¢	Lost
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$12	5.6¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$154	1.9¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$411	5.1¢	Lost
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	$1.7k	84.2¢	Won
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	$11	12.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$39	2.2¢	Lost
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?	Yes	$19	34.5¢	Lost
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	1.0¢	Lost
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$20	1.9¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	Yes	$30	26.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?	Yes	$15	15.0¢	Lost

Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?Won
Yes$20 @ 80.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Lost
Yes$35 @ 46.0¢
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Lost
No$46 @ 45.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Lost
Yes$13 @ 6.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20?Lost
Yes$10 @ 19.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$31 @ 14.9¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$16 @ 1.6¢
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Lost
Yes$14 @ 8.0¢
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of March 30 2026?Won
Yes$47 @ 46.6¢
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?Lost
Yes$14 @ 7.0¢
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Lost
Yes$60 @ 15.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$129 @ 12.6¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$6 @ 5.4¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Won
Yes$17.0k @ 47.5¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Lost
Yes$100 @ 47.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?Lost
Yes$30 @ 54.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$144 @ 34.8¢
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceLost
Croatia$15 @ 30.3¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$12 @ 5.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$154 @ 1.9¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$411 @ 5.1¢
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?Won
Yes$1.7k @ 84.2¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Lost
Yes$11 @ 12.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$39 @ 2.2¢
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?Lost
Yes$19 @ 34.5¢
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 1.0¢
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$20 @ 1.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Lost
Yes$30 @ 26.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Lost
Yes$15 @ 15.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$6.5k	65.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3.0k	60.0¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$786	15.7¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$560	28.0¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$500	5.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$499	49.9¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	No	$465	93.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$200	40.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$192	48.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$140	28.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$100	10.0¢
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$95	9.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$56	56.0¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$41	4.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$40	40.0¢
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$23	15.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Politics	Yes	$10	1.0¢
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Culture	Yes	$3	0.3¢

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$6.5k @ 65.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$3.0k @ 60.0¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$786 @ 15.7¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$560 @ 28.0¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$500 @ 5.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$499 @ 49.9¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
No$465 @ 93.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$200 @ 40.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$192 @ 48.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$140 @ 28.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$100 @ 10.0¢
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$95 @ 9.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$56 @ 56.0¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$41 @ 4.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$40 @ 40.0¢
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$23 @ 15.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics
Yes$10 @ 1.0¢
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
Yes$3 @ 0.3¢