← Smart money
0x6d6f…0f95
SharpEdge
+12.1pp
ROI
+16%
Win rate
70% @ 57.7¢
Brier
0.088
Resolved
182
Avg size
$153
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 85% (11/13) | +16% | 13 |
| Other | 50% (1/2) | -72% | 2 |
- Sports13 bets
- Hit rate
- 85% (11/13)
- ROI
- +16%
- Other2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -72%
Track record
80% hit · 12/15| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | $5.2k | 58.0¢ | Won |
| Exact Score: Venezia FC 1 - 1 SSC Napoli? | Yes | $949 | 37.8¢ | Lost |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? | Yes | $1.0k | 86.0¢ | Won |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-20? | Yes | $19 | 83.0¢ | Won |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10? | Yes | $340 | 89.0¢ | Won |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | $10.7k | 80.5¢ | Won |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17? | Yes | $1.7k | 85.0¢ | Won |
| Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-10-24? | Yes | $2.6k | 81.1¢ | Won |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? | Yes | $354 | 88.0¢ | Won |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | Yes | $268 | 89.0¢ | Won |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | $2.6k | 21.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | Yes | $65 | 42.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17? | Yes | $308 | 88.0¢ | Won |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-18? | No | $1.5k | 83.9¢ | Won |
| Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | Yes | $299 | 80.9¢ | Won |
- Yes$5.2k @ 58.0¢
- Yes$949 @ 37.8¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 86.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$340 @ 89.0¢
- No$10.7k @ 80.5¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 85.0¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 81.1¢
- Yes$354 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$268 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 21.0¢
- Yes$65 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$308 @ 88.0¢
- No$1.5k @ 83.9¢
- Yes$299 @ 80.9¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $11.6k | 77.1¢ |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Economy | Yes | $3.1k | 68.9¢ |
- Yes$11.6k @ 77.1¢
- Yes$3.1k @ 68.9¢