0x7cf9…2798

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7cf93583951552553bc0d243a8582a3410ed2798
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.1pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

43% @ 38.0¢

Brier

0.125

Resolved

2954

Avg size

$750

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	42% (5/12)	+63%	12
Other	50% (4/8)	+7%	8
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Politics12 bets
Hit rate
42% (5/12)
ROI
+63%
Other8 bets
Hit rate
50% (4/8)
ROI
+7%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

43% hit · 9/21

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$6.3k	0.7¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$891	0.3¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$95.5k	54.8¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$183.4k	55.3¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$8.0k	17.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	$967	34.0¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$14.2k	51.4¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	$2.8k	99.1¢	Won
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$378	0.5¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$7.5k	20.8¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$551	0.7¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	$3.3k	67.0¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$28.6k	45.3¢	Won
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	$315	0.6¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	$2.8k	51.0¢	Won
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	$1.7k	85.0¢	Won
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	$49	85.0¢	Won
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	$20	0.2¢	Lost
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	No	$2.9k	1.9¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	Yes	$14.4k	88.9¢	Won

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$6.3k @ 0.7¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$891 @ 0.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$95.5k @ 54.8¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Won
No$183.4k @ 55.3¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$8.0k @ 17.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Won
No$967 @ 34.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$14.2k @ 51.4¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Won
No$2.8k @ 99.1¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$378 @ 0.5¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$7.5k @ 20.8¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$551 @ 0.7¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Lost
No$3.3k @ 67.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$28.6k @ 45.3¢
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?Lost
Yes$315 @ 0.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Won
Yes$2.8k @ 51.0¢
Will Trump visit China by May 31?Won
Yes$1.7k @ 85.0¢
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Won
Yes$49 @ 85.0¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Lost
No$20 @ 0.2¢
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Lost
No$2.9k @ 1.9¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Won
Yes$14.4k @ 88.9¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$89.5k	22.9¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$37.1k	70.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$36.0k	27.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$11.8k	2.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$9.0k	6.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$3.1k	1.2¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$172	74.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$147	0.5¢

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$89.5k @ 22.9¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$37.1k @ 70.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$36.0k @ 27.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$11.8k @ 2.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
No$9.0k @ 6.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$3.1k @ 1.2¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Politics
Yes$172 @ 74.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$147 @ 0.5¢