0xcf19…6402

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

ProfitableSniper

Edge

+65.8pp

ROI

+324%

Win rate

98% @ 32.4¢

Brier

0.511

Resolved

650

Avg size

$234

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	38% (6/16)	+26%	16
Politics	100% (2/2)	+467%	2
Other	100% (2/2)	+92%	2

Sports16 bets
Hit rate
38% (6/16)
ROI
+26%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+467%
Other2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+92%

Track record

50% hit · 10/20

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Jamal Musiala: 1+ goals	Yes	$188	49.0¢	Won
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$390	48.0¢	Lost
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$173	34.0¢	Lost
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5	Under	$11	59.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$93.8k	17.4¢	Won
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$112	16.0¢	Lost
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5	Over	$1.5k	51.0¢	Won
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5	Under	$414	51.0¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$6.9k	21.2¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$43.5k	78.5¢	Won
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?	Yes	$98	32.0¢	Lost
O/U 1.5 Rounds	Under	$92	50.0¢	Won
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$400	50.0¢	Won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5	Under	$330	33.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.3k	70.0¢	Won
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	No	$430	53.0¢	Lost
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$2.5k	60.6¢	Won
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$333	47.6¢	Lost
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$225	22.0¢	Lost
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5	Under	$72	55.0¢	Won

Jamal Musiala: 1+ goalsWon
Yes$188 @ 49.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$390 @ 48.0¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Lost
Yes$173 @ 34.0¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$11 @ 59.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$93.8k @ 17.4¢
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$112 @ 16.0¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Won
Over$1.5k @ 51.0¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$414 @ 51.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
Yes$6.9k @ 21.2¢
Will England win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$43.5k @ 78.5¢
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$98 @ 32.0¢
O/U 1.5 RoundsWon
Under$92 @ 50.0¢
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?Won
Yes$400 @ 50.0¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$330 @ 33.0¢
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 70.0¢
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Lost
No$430 @ 53.0¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?Won
Yes$2.5k @ 60.6¢
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$333 @ 47.6¢
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$225 @ 22.0¢
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5Won
Under$72 @ 55.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$45.5k	61.4¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$40.4k	35.4¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$17.2k	86.0¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$10.7k	4.7¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$10.4k	4.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$9.8k	49.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$9.8k	34.4¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$5.6k	12.5¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Politics	No	$4.7k	84.0¢
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Politics	Yes	$4.2k	95.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	—	No	$4.2k	83.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$4.1k	22.4¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Politics	No	$3.5k	71.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	No	$3.2k	42.7¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$2.3k	1.9¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	—	Yes	$2.2k	54.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$1.8k	76.9¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Politics	No	$1.2k	82.2¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?	Politics	No	$876	95.5¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$850	17.0¢
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Politics	Yes	$792	32.0¢
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?	Politics	No	$649	82.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$648	43.0¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Politics	Yes	$544	97.6¢
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$317	2.1¢
Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	—	No	$132	18.0¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$54	2.5¢
Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	—	No	$32	13.9¢

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$45.5k @ 61.4¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$40.4k @ 35.4¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$17.2k @ 86.0¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$10.7k @ 4.7¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$10.4k @ 4.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$9.8k @ 49.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$9.8k @ 34.4¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$5.6k @ 12.5¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics
No$4.7k @ 84.0¢
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics
Yes$4.2k @ 95.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?—
No$4.2k @ 83.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$4.1k @ 22.4¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics
No$3.5k @ 71.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
No$3.2k @ 42.7¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$2.3k @ 1.9¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?—
Yes$2.2k @ 54.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$1.8k @ 76.9¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics
No$1.2k @ 82.2¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?Politics
No$876 @ 95.5¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics
Yes$850 @ 17.0¢
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics
Yes$792 @ 32.0¢
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Politics
No$649 @ 82.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$648 @ 43.0¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics
Yes$544 @ 97.6¢
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$317 @ 2.1¢
Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?—
No$132 @ 18.0¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$54 @ 2.5¢
Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?—
No$32 @ 13.9¢