0xcf19…6402

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Sports72 bets

  Hit rate

  49% (35/72)

  ROI

  +30%

• Politics46 bets

  Hit rate

  63% (29/46)

  ROI

  +183%

• Other12 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (8/12)

  ROI

  +9%

• Geopolitics8 bets

  Hit rate

  38% (3/8)

  ROI

  -64%

• Economy3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  -92%

• Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Lost
  No$430 @ 53.0¢
• Jamal Musiala: 1+ goalsWon
  Yes$188 @ 49.0¢
• Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Won
  Under$522 @ 52.0¢
• Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Won
  Under$416 @ 52.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$17.8k @ 89.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$158.0k @ 19.2¢
• Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Lost
  Yes$2.1k @ 51.0¢
• Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Won
  Yes$1.4k @ 29.0¢
• Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$1.4k @ 70.0¢
• England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Lost
  Under$3.1k @ 52.0¢
• Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  No$320 @ 32.0¢
• Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Lost
  Yes$390 @ 48.0¢
• Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
  Yes$1.4k @ 15.0¢
• Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Lost
  No$1.0k @ 50.0¢
• Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Lost
  Yes$173 @ 34.0¢
• Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  No$372 @ 47.2¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
  Yes$1.0k @ 1.0¢
• Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Won
  Yes$483 @ 69.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Won
  Yes$211 @ 16.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
  Yes$21.5k @ 25.3¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Lost
  Yes$3.6k @ 36.0¢
• Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$3.4k @ 11.3¢
• Spread: Germany (-3.5)Won
  Germany$1.6k @ 49.2¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Lost
  Yes$21.7k @ 24.9¢
• IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5Lost
  Under$11 @ 59.0¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$33.3k @ 39.9¢
• Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$4.3k @ 8.5¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Lost
  Yes$29.3k @ 14.5¢
• Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Won
  Under$472 @ 59.0¢
• Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$2.6k @ 16.7¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$13.4k @ 67.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$186.9k @ 21.5¢
• Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$153 @ 52.0¢
• Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$691 @ 86.0¢
• Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  No$134 @ 15.2¢
• Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Lost
  No$26 @ 18.0¢
• Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Won
  Yes$385 @ 55.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$1.9k @ 31.8¢
• Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?Won
  Yes$11.0k @ 43.5¢
• Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5Won
  Under$806 @ 53.0¢
• Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$4.9k @ 16.0¢
• Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$803 @ 2.6¢
• Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Lost
  Yes$169 @ 43.0¢
• Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Won
  Yes$311 @ 22.0¢
• Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Won
  Yes$632 @ 79.0¢
• Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Lost
  Yes$776 @ 51.0¢
• Spread: Canada (-1.5)Won
  Canada$392 @ 49.0¢
• US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Won
  No$8.8k @ 87.5¢
• US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Lost
  Yes$1.7k @ 16.7¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
  No$34 @ 44.0¢

Current positions

• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$41.1k @ 36.1¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$22.2k @ 11.9¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$17.2k @ 86.0¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$14.3k @ 76.2¢
• Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$10.7k @ 4.7¢
• Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$10.4k @ 4.1¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics
  Yes$9.8k @ 34.4¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$7.7k @ 36.9¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$3.9k @ 39.0¢
• Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics
  No$3.5k @ 71.0¢
• Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$2.5k @ 2.5¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 76.9¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$1.6k @ 41.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$953 @ 41.0¢
• Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Politics
  No$831 @ 81.9¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$613 @ 14.2¢
• Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Sports
  No$565 @ 78.0¢
• Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$525 @ 2.1¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$121 @ 67.0¢
• Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics
  Yes$45 @ 45.0¢