0xa288…f80f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa288476992285ab1535a19ff5cb5c31d494bf80f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+21.4pp

ROI

+64%

Win rate

57% @ 35.5¢

Brier

0.279

Resolved

160

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	46% (18/39)	+19%	39
Politics	29% (4/14)	+87%	14
Economy	88% (7/8)	+165%	8
Geopolitics	100% (2/2)	+160%	2

Other39 bets
Hit rate
46% (18/39)
ROI
+19%
Politics14 bets
Hit rate
29% (4/14)
ROI
+87%
Economy8 bets
Hit rate
88% (7/8)
ROI
+165%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+160%

Track record

49% hit · 31/63

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
0x05ccbc3b…	No	$7	48.0¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	$27	37.6¢	Won
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$55	69.7¢	Won
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$3	24.6¢	Lost
Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?	Yes	$7	24.4¢	Lost
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$10	32.0¢	Lost
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%?	Yes	$2	28.0¢	Won
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$2	0.9¢	Lost
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?	No	$8	32.0¢	Won
Bucks vs. Grizzlies	Bucks	$2	17.0¢	Lost
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$15	8.6¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$5	3.2¢	Lost
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?	Yes	$25	38.8¢	Won
Suns vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	$3	34.0¢	Lost
Jazz vs. Spurs	Jazz	$5	55.0¢	Won
Raptors vs. Wizards	Wizards	$6	57.0¢	Won
US government shutdown Saturday?	No	$3	28.0¢	Lost
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?	Yes	$21	49.1¢	Lost
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	$26	27.2¢	Won
Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	$17	28.5¢	Lost
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?	Yes	$47	43.1¢	Won
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	$12	14.2¢	Won
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.5%?	Yes	$14	35.6¢	Lost
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	$12	32.0¢	Won
Texans vs. Chargers	Texans	$13	83.0¢	Won
Ravens vs. Packers	Ravens	$5	62.0¢	Won
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	Yes	$64	44.4¢	Won
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$33	48.7¢	Won
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.6%?	Yes	$10	28.0¢	Lost
Will AC Reggiana 1919 win on 2025-12-27?	Yes	$13	42.4¢	Lost
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	$20	20.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	Yes	$60	33.0¢	Lost
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$50	55.7¢	Lost
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?	Yes	$7	36.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$38	38.0¢	Won
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$5	15.0¢	Won
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	$12	40.0¢	Lost
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$11	21.4¢	Lost
Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	$10	61.0¢	Won
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?	Yes	$22	52.6¢	Won
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$21	34.0¢	Won
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	Yes	$48	65.0¢	Lost
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$38	24.7¢	Lost
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$22	44.0¢	Won
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$3	17.0¢	Won
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?	No	$5	21.9¢	Lost
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?	Yes	$10	37.0¢	Lost
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$28	51.0¢	Lost
Nuggets vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	$20	49.5¢	Won

0x05ccbc3b…Lost
No$7 @ 48.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Won
Yes$27 @ 37.6¢
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$55 @ 69.7¢
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$3 @ 24.6¢
Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?Lost
Yes$7 @ 24.4¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$10 @ 32.0¢
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%?Won
Yes$2 @ 28.0¢
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Won
No$8 @ 32.0¢
Bucks vs. GrizzliesLost
Bucks$2 @ 17.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$15 @ 8.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$5 @ 3.2¢
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?Won
Yes$25 @ 38.8¢
Suns vs. PelicansLost
Pelicans$3 @ 34.0¢
Jazz vs. SpursWon
Jazz$5 @ 55.0¢
Raptors vs. WizardsWon
Wizards$6 @ 57.0¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Lost
No$3 @ 28.0¢
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?Lost
Yes$21 @ 49.1¢
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Won
No$26 @ 27.2¢
Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$17 @ 28.5¢
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?Won
Yes$47 @ 43.1¢
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?Won
Yes$12 @ 14.2¢
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.5%?Lost
Yes$14 @ 35.6¢
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Won
No$12 @ 32.0¢
Texans vs. ChargersWon
Texans$13 @ 83.0¢
Ravens vs. PackersWon
Ravens$5 @ 62.0¢
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Won
Yes$64 @ 44.4¢
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Won
Yes$33 @ 48.7¢
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.6%?Lost
Yes$10 @ 28.0¢
Will AC Reggiana 1919 win on 2025-12-27?Lost
Yes$13 @ 42.4¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Won
Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Lost
Yes$60 @ 33.0¢
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$50 @ 55.7¢
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?Lost
Yes$7 @ 36.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$38 @ 38.0¢
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Won
Yes$5 @ 15.0¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Lost
Yes$12 @ 40.0¢
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$11 @ 21.4¢
Knicks vs. HawksWon
Knicks$10 @ 61.0¢
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?Won
Yes$22 @ 52.6¢
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$21 @ 34.0¢
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?Lost
Yes$48 @ 65.0¢
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$38 @ 24.7¢
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$22 @ 44.0¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
Yes$3 @ 17.0¢
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?Lost
No$5 @ 21.9¢
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 37.0¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
No$28 @ 51.0¢
Nuggets vs. MavericksWon
Mavericks$20 @ 49.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Economy	Yes	$35	41.2¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$26	10.9¢
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	Geopolitics	Yes	$21	32.5¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$20	26.9¢
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	Geopolitics	Yes	$20	28.0¢
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Economy	Yes	$20	37.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$20	29.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$12	26.4¢
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?	Economy	Yes	$11	8.4¢
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?	Economy	Yes	$11	16.7¢

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Economy
Yes$35 @ 41.2¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Politics
Yes$26 @ 10.9¢
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Geopolitics
Yes$21 @ 32.5¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Politics
Yes$20 @ 26.9¢
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Geopolitics
Yes$20 @ 28.0¢
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?Economy
Yes$20 @ 37.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$20 @ 29.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$12 @ 26.4¢
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?Economy
Yes$11 @ 8.4¢
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?Economy
Yes$11 @ 16.7¢