← Market consensus

Activeends Jul 31, 2026

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

69.5¢

No

30.5¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 8 tracked sharps

Contested

Yes 56%No 44%

8 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x95d5…08bc	Yes	$186	66.0¢	2.0×	+83%	89%	Profitable
0x6770…45fb	No	$177	65.0¢	2.1×	+32%	39%	Sharp
0x5e73…6697	Yes	$96	64.0¢	0.5×	+27%	64%	Sharp
0x81e9…1812	No	$73	65.0¢	2.8×	+40%	47%	Sharp
0xe879…6d22	Yes	$53	67.0¢	0.5×	+41%	88%	Sharp
0x0711…f03c	No	$18	58.2¢	6.0×	+21%	28%	Sharp
0xf454…7ecc	Yes	$2	35.0¢	0.4×	+116%	31%	Sharp
0xbf55…c966	No	$1	66.0¢	0.9×	+24%	55%	Sharp

0x95d5…08bcProfitable

Yes$186 @ 66.0¢

Conv: 2.0×
ROI: +83%
Win%: 89%

0x6770…45fbSharp

No$177 @ 65.0¢

Conv: 2.1×
ROI: +32%
Win%: 39%

0x5e73…6697Sharp

Yes$96 @ 64.0¢

Conv: 0.5×
ROI: +27%
Win%: 64%

0x81e9…1812Sharp

No$73 @ 65.0¢

Conv: 2.8×
ROI: +40%
Win%: 47%

0xe879…6d22Sharp

Yes$53 @ 67.0¢

Conv: 0.5×
ROI: +41%
Win%: 88%

0x0711…f03cSharp

No$18 @ 58.2¢

Conv: 6.0×
ROI: +21%
Win%: 28%

0xf454…7eccSharp

Yes$2 @ 35.0¢

Conv: 0.4×
ROI: +116%
Win%: 31%

0xbf55…c966Sharp

No$1 @ 66.0¢

Conv: 0.9×
ROI: +24%
Win%: 55%