0x9f2a…3706

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9f2a10f2967c9d63ed36f0880eea5fd7189d3706
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-4.0pp

ROI

+13%

Win rate

43% @ 47.0¢

Brier

0.191

Resolved

2441

Avg size

$155

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	41% (297/722)	+46%	722
Sports	47% (121/255)	-19%	255
Politics	40% (73/183)	+10%	183
Science	42% (47/111)	-5%	111
Tech	43% (26/60)	-2%	60
Geopolitics	41% (12/29)	+19%	29
Economy	53% (9/17)	-42%	17
Crypto	63% (5/8)	-70%	8
Business	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other722 bets
Hit rate
41% (297/722)
ROI
+46%
Sports255 bets
Hit rate
47% (121/255)
ROI
-19%
Politics183 bets
Hit rate
40% (73/183)
ROI
+10%
Science111 bets
Hit rate
42% (47/111)
ROI
-5%
Tech60 bets
Hit rate
43% (26/60)
ROI
-2%
Geopolitics29 bets
Hit rate
41% (12/29)
ROI
+19%
Economy17 bets
Hit rate
53% (9/17)
ROI
-42%
Crypto8 bets
Hit rate
63% (5/8)
ROI
-70%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

43% hit · 590/1386

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 23?	No	$10	75.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 23?	Yes	$1	23.0¢	Lost
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$16	74.0¢	Won
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	No	$54	47.0¢	Lost
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	$0	51.0¢	Won
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	$397	77.2¢	Won
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	$22	22.0¢	Lost
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	$0	5.0¢	Lost
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?	No	$216	85.1¢	Won
IR Iran leading at halftime?	No	$315	63.0¢	Won
Will Paraguay be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	No	$35	51.6¢	Won
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?	No	$12	45.7¢	Won
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?	Yes	$30	74.5¢	Lost
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Keyd (-3.5) vs Game Hunters (+3.5)	Game Hunters	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Hamburg European Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Kamil Majchrzak	$115	34.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?	No	$29	72.5¢	Lost
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?	No	$473	62.7¢	Won
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?	Yes	$71	71.0¢	Lost
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)	TYLOO	$840	54.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 15?	Yes	$7	13.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 18?	No	$3	78.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 3?	Yes	$17	41.5¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	$103	45.2¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$33	43.3¢	Lost
Madrid Open, Qualification: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Veronika Erjavec	Veronika Erjavec	$9	55.0¢	Lost
Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by more than 20%?	Yes	$7	34.6¢	Lost
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5	Over	$15	46.0¢	Won
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5	Under	$364	53.0¢	Lost
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 in June?	Yes	$39	44.0¢	Won
Will Emiliano Martínez be in Argentina's Starting 11?	No	$4	7.0¢	Lost
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	$90	45.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 4?	No	$12	58.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 4?	Yes	$10	49.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?	No	$21	58.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?	Yes	$7	35.0¢	Lost
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)	Detroit Tigers	$37	61.0¢	Lost
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	No	$29	39.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 8?	No	$1	75.0¢	Won
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?	No	$74	57.8¢	Won
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?	Yes	$49	49.7¢	Lost
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	24.6¢	Lost
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina be the worst-placed European nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?	No	$14	41.4¢	Lost
Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Total HDBs O/U 704.8	Over	$13	64.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 1?	No	$14	58.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 1?	Yes	$7	36.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 14?	Yes	$8	30.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 28?	No	$3	56.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 26?	No	$2	65.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	$7	37.0¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 23?Won
No$10 @ 75.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 23?Lost
Yes$1 @ 23.0¢
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$16 @ 74.0¢
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Lost
No$54 @ 47.0¢
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Won
Yes$0 @ 51.0¢
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Won
No$397 @ 77.2¢
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Lost
Yes$22 @ 22.0¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Lost
Yes$0 @ 5.0¢
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?Won
No$216 @ 85.1¢
IR Iran leading at halftime?Won
No$315 @ 63.0¢
Will Paraguay be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Won
No$35 @ 51.6¢
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Won
No$12 @ 45.7¢
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Lost
Yes$30 @ 74.5¢
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Keyd (-3.5) vs Game Hunters (+3.5)Lost
Game Hunters$0 @ 0.1¢
Hamburg European Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliLost
Kamil Majchrzak$115 @ 34.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?Lost
No$29 @ 72.5¢
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?Won
No$473 @ 62.7¢
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?Lost
Yes$71 @ 71.0¢
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)Lost
TYLOO$840 @ 54.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 15?Lost
Yes$7 @ 13.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 18?Won
No$3 @ 78.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 3?Lost
Yes$17 @ 41.5¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Won
No$103 @ 45.2¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$33 @ 43.3¢
Madrid Open, Qualification: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Veronika ErjavecLost
Veronika Erjavec$9 @ 55.0¢
Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by more than 20%?Lost
Yes$7 @ 34.6¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Won
Over$15 @ 46.0¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Lost
Under$364 @ 53.0¢
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 in June?Won
Yes$39 @ 44.0¢
Will Emiliano Martínez be in Argentina's Starting 11?Lost
No$4 @ 7.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Lost
No$90 @ 45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 4?Lost
No$12 @ 58.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 4?Won
Yes$10 @ 49.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?Won
No$21 @ 58.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$7 @ 35.0¢
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Lost
Detroit Tigers$37 @ 61.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Lost
No$29 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 8?Won
No$1 @ 75.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Won
No$74 @ 57.8¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Lost
Yes$49 @ 49.7¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 24.6¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina be the worst-placed European nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?Lost
No$14 @ 41.4¢
Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Total HDBs O/U 704.8Lost
Over$13 @ 64.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 1?Won
No$14 @ 58.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 1?Lost
Yes$7 @ 36.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 14?Lost
Yes$8 @ 30.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 28?Won
No$3 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 26?Lost
No$2 @ 65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 26?Won
Yes$7 @ 37.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$300	71.0¢
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?	Crypto	Yes	$35	69.0¢
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$24	47.0¢
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$19	43.0¢
Will the Labor Party (PT) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Politics	Yes	$18	35.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$17	33.9¢
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Business	No	$14	55.0¢
Will Alex Villanueva win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?	Politics	Yes	$14	34.0¢
Will Craig Greenberg win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election?	Politics	No	$13	32.7¢
California Clinic Funding Proposition	Politics	No	$13	63.0¢
Will Hurupay launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$12	60.3¢
Will Yeet launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$12	58.0¢
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$11	54.0¢
Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$10	50.0¢
California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition	Politics	No	$8	41.0¢
Will Prodigy SEG Win the 2026 Esports Supporting Service of the Year Award?	Sports	Yes	$7	37.0¢
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	37.0¢
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	34.0¢
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$5	17.0¢
Will Clay Jenkins win the 2026 Dallas County Judge election?	Politics	No	$5	23.5¢
Will Minerva Torres Shelton win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?	Politics	Yes	$4	21.0¢
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Politics	Yes	$4	18.5¢
Will Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3	22.0¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3	55.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?	Politics	No	$2	60.0¢
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$2	20.0¢
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$2	51.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$2	37.0¢
Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1	3.4¢
Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1	5.2¢

Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$300 @ 71.0¢
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Crypto
Yes$35 @ 69.0¢
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics
Yes$24 @ 47.0¢
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto
Yes$19 @ 43.0¢
Will the Labor Party (PT) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Politics
Yes$18 @ 35.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$17 @ 33.9¢
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Business
No$14 @ 55.0¢
Will Alex Villanueva win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?Politics
Yes$14 @ 34.0¢
Will Craig Greenberg win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election?Politics
No$13 @ 32.7¢
California Clinic Funding PropositionPolitics
No$13 @ 63.0¢
Will Hurupay launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$12 @ 60.3¢
Will Yeet launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$12 @ 58.0¢
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$11 @ 54.0¢
Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
California High-Earner Permanent Tax PropositionPolitics
No$8 @ 41.0¢
Will Prodigy SEG Win the 2026 Esports Supporting Service of the Year Award?Sports
Yes$7 @ 37.0¢
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 37.0¢
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 34.0¢
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?Tech
Yes$5 @ 17.0¢
Will Clay Jenkins win the 2026 Dallas County Judge election?Politics
No$5 @ 23.5¢
Will Minerva Torres Shelton win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Politics
Yes$4 @ 21.0¢
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics
Yes$4 @ 18.5¢
Will Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026?Politics
Yes$3 @ 22.0¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$3 @ 55.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?Politics
No$2 @ 60.0¢
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$2 @ 20.0¢
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$2 @ 51.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?Politics
Yes$2 @ 37.0¢
Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 3.4¢
Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 5.2¢