0x66c1…2c72

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x66c1cc4f994ee99a2f5977a2e071cbfd65852c72
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.0pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

17% @ 14.3¢

Brier

0.096

Resolved

3677

Avg size

$22

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	29% (79/272)	+44%	272
Politics	20% (44/223)	+23%	223
Geopolitics	10% (6/60)	-86%	60
Tech	17% (5/29)	+16%	29
Sports	40% (8/20)	+53%	20
Science	25% (2/8)	+79%	8
Economy	0% (0/5)	-100%	5
Culture	40% (2/5)	+9%	5
Crypto	60% (3/5)	+163%	5

Other272 bets
Hit rate
29% (79/272)
ROI
+44%
Politics223 bets
Hit rate
20% (44/223)
ROI
+23%
Geopolitics60 bets
Hit rate
10% (6/60)
ROI
-86%
Tech29 bets
Hit rate
17% (5/29)
ROI
+16%
Sports20 bets
Hit rate
40% (8/20)
ROI
+53%
Science8 bets
Hit rate
25% (2/8)
ROI
+79%
Economy5 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/5)
ROI
-100%
Culture5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
+9%
Crypto5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
+163%

Track record

24% hit · 149/627

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race?	Yes	$19	4.0¢	Lost
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Yes	$26	26.0¢	Lost
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$24	12.0¢	Lost
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	20.0¢	Lost
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$95	19.0¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$540	54.0¢	Lost
Graham Platner divorce by October 31?	Yes	$48	9.4¢	Lost
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	Yes	$16	5.0¢	Lost
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$51	5.1¢	Won
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$37	7.3¢	Lost
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$286	46.4¢	Lost
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in May?	Yes	$2	0.5¢	Lost
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?	Yes	$205	25.0¢	Lost
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 12, 2026?	Yes	$22	4.3¢	Lost
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$90	25.3¢	Lost
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$60	6.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$334	21.9¢	Won
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	$2	0.4¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$368	5.0¢	Lost
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?	Yes	$430	12.8¢	Lost
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$26	5.0¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	$74	3.7¢	Lost
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	No	$28	5.4¢	Lost
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	$7	2.5¢	Lost
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?	Yes	$5	0.1¢	Lost
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$62	12.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$109	10.6¢	Lost
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$527	64.3¢	Won
Iran leadership change by July 31?	Yes	$12	1.2¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?	Yes	$3	0.3¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.2k	17.6¢	Lost
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	$432	16.9¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	$4	0.3¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$20	3.9¢	Lost
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	Yes	$2	1.8¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?	Yes	$107	1.8¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	Yes	$775	7.7¢	Lost
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?	No	$41	7.2¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?	No	$25	2.7¢	Lost
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	$10	2.5¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$8	2.8¢	Lost
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$220	11.0¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	Yes	$35	7.0¢	Lost
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?	Yes	$304	10.0¢	Lost
Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?	Yes	$50	4.9¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	$38	1.8¢	Lost
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	Yes	$124	60.9¢	Won
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$6	1.0¢	Lost

Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race?Lost
Yes$19 @ 4.0¢
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Lost
Yes$26 @ 26.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$24 @ 12.0¢
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 20.0¢
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$95 @ 19.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$540 @ 54.0¢
Graham Platner divorce by October 31?Lost
Yes$48 @ 9.4¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?Lost
Yes$16 @ 5.0¢
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Won
No$51 @ 5.1¢
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
Yes$37 @ 7.3¢
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$286 @ 46.4¢
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in May?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?Lost
Yes$205 @ 25.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 12, 2026?Lost
Yes$22 @ 4.3¢
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$90 @ 25.3¢
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$60 @ 6.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Won
Yes$334 @ 21.9¢
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on August 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$368 @ 5.0¢
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Lost
Yes$430 @ 12.8¢
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$26 @ 5.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Lost
Yes$74 @ 3.7¢
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?Lost
No$28 @ 5.4¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Lost
Yes$7 @ 2.5¢
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Lost
Yes$62 @ 12.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$109 @ 10.6¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Won
Yes$527 @ 64.3¢
Iran leadership change by July 31?Lost
Yes$12 @ 1.2¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 17.6¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$432 @ 16.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.3¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?Lost
Yes$20 @ 3.9¢
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.8¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?Lost
Yes$107 @ 1.8¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Lost
Yes$775 @ 7.7¢
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?Lost
No$41 @ 7.2¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?Lost
No$25 @ 2.7¢
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Lost
No$10 @ 2.5¢
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 2.8¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Won
Yes$220 @ 11.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Lost
Yes$35 @ 7.0¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Lost
Yes$304 @ 10.0¢
Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Lost
Yes$50 @ 4.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Lost
Yes$38 @ 1.8¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Won
Yes$124 @ 60.9¢
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 1.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$755	75.5¢
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$488	48.8¢
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$302	60.4¢
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$297	1.0¢
Will AP call US House control by November 13, 11:59 PM?	Politics	Yes	$256	89.3¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$231	7.7¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$210	21.0¢
Will AP call US House control by November 15, 11:59 PM?	Politics	Yes	$186	92.9¢
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$170	8.5¢
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$169	15.4¢
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$155	15.5¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Politics	No	$133	13.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$120	6.0¢
Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms?	Politics	Yes	$95	5.2¢
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$70	13.7¢
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Politics	Yes	$62	30.8¢
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$57	11.4¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$52	26.0¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Tech	Yes	$50	10.0¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?	Politics	Yes	$46	1.3¢
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$46	4.6¢
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Politics	Yes	$40	4.0¢
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$20	20.0¢
Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race?	Politics	Yes	$19	4.0¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$14	1.9¢
Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary?	Politics	Yes	$13	2.4¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Politics	No	$9	20.0¢
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	Tech	Yes	$8	8.0¢
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?	Politics	Yes	$2	2.4¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?	Politics	Yes	$2	0.3¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$755 @ 75.5¢
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$488 @ 48.8¢
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$302 @ 60.4¢
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$297 @ 1.0¢
Will AP call US House control by November 13, 11:59 PM?Politics
Yes$256 @ 89.3¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$231 @ 7.7¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$210 @ 21.0¢
Will AP call US House control by November 15, 11:59 PM?Politics
Yes$186 @ 92.9¢
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?Politics
Yes$170 @ 8.5¢
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics
Yes$169 @ 15.4¢
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$155 @ 15.5¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics
No$133 @ 13.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics
Yes$120 @ 6.0¢
Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms?Politics
Yes$95 @ 5.2¢
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?Politics
Yes$70 @ 13.7¢
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Politics
Yes$62 @ 30.8¢
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Politics
Yes$57 @ 11.4¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
Yes$52 @ 26.0¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech
Yes$50 @ 10.0¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Politics
Yes$46 @ 1.3¢
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$46 @ 4.6¢
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics
Yes$40 @ 4.0¢
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race?Politics
Yes$19 @ 4.0¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?Politics
Yes$14 @ 1.9¢
Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics
Yes$13 @ 2.4¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics
No$9 @ 20.0¢
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Tech
Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics
Yes$2 @ 2.4¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?Politics
Yes$2 @ 0.3¢