0x95d5…08bc

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x95d5609631fd172f1447352a951be977384908bc
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+34.7pp

ROI

+88%

Win rate

88% @ 53.0¢

Brier

0.338

Resolved

Avg size

$97

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	86% (6/7)	+136%	7
Politics	80% (4/5)	+14%	5
Geopolitics	100% (3/3)	+3%	3
Tech	100% (1/1)	+19%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+12%	1

Other7 bets
Hit rate
86% (6/7)
ROI
+136%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
80% (4/5)
ROI
+14%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+3%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+19%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+12%

Track record

88% hit · 15/17

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	$483	63.4¢	Won
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	$290	72.2¢	Lost
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	$1.2k	82.2¢	Won
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	No	$212	89.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$90	89.9¢	Won
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	$72	59.0¢	Won
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	$486	11.0¢	Won
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	$19	84.0¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	$71	83.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$77	25.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$832	69.3¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	$89	89.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	$287	75.9¢	Won
Will Moldova be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	$33	79.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	No	$420	84.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$537	89.5¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$994	99.4¢	Won

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?Won
Yes$483 @ 63.4¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Lost
No$290 @ 72.2¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Won
No$1.2k @ 82.2¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Won
No$212 @ 89.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$90 @ 89.9¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Won
No$72 @ 59.0¢
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?Won
Yes$486 @ 11.0¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Won
No$19 @ 84.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Won
No$71 @ 83.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$77 @ 25.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$832 @ 69.3¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Won
No$89 @ 89.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Won
No$287 @ 75.9¢
Will Moldova be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Won
No$33 @ 79.0¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Won
No$420 @ 84.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$537 @ 89.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$994 @ 99.4¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Politics	No	$9.1k	91.0¢
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Culture	No	$8.1k	98.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Politics	No	$5.2k	99.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?	Politics	No	$4.1k	98.7¢
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?	—	No	$3.4k	97.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	—	No	$959	95.9¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	No	$900	90.0¢
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Politics	No	$460	92.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Politics	No	$233	88.6¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$186	66.0¢

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
No$9.1k @ 91.0¢
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture
No$8.1k @ 98.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics
No$5.2k @ 99.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?Politics
No$4.1k @ 98.7¢
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?—
No$3.4k @ 97.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?—
No$959 @ 95.9¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
No$900 @ 90.0¢
Iran nuclear test before 2027?Politics
No$460 @ 92.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics
No$233 @ 88.6¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?—
Yes$186 @ 66.0¢