← Smart money
0x95d5…08bc
ProfitableROI
+88%
Win rate
88%
Brier
0.338
Resolved
57
Avg size
$97
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +12% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +1% | 1 |
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +12%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +1%
Track record
100% hit · 2/2| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | No | $537 | 89.5¢ | Won |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | No | $994 | 99.4¢ | Won |
- No$537 @ 89.5¢
- No$994 @ 99.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Politics | No | $9.1k | 91.0¢ |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Politics | No | $2.8k | 94.0¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Geopolitics | No | $995 | 99.5¢ |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Geopolitics | No | $489 | 97.8¢ |
| Will Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | No | $378 | 97.1¢ |
| Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? | Politics | No | $127 | 98.4¢ |
- No$9.1k @ 91.0¢
- No$2.8k @ 94.0¢
- No$995 @ 99.5¢
- No$489 @ 97.8¢
- No$378 @ 97.1¢
- No$127 @ 98.4¢