← Smart money
0x95d5…08bc
ProfitableEdge
+34.7pp
ROI
+88%
Win rate
88% @ 53.0¢
Brier
0.338
Resolved
57
Avg size
$97
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 86% (6/7) | +136% | 7 |
| Politics | 80% (4/5) | +14% | 5 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (3/3) | +3% | 3 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +19% | 1 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +12% | 1 |
- Other7 bets
- Hit rate
- 86% (6/7)
- ROI
- +136%
- Politics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 80% (4/5)
- ROI
- +14%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +3%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +19%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +12%
Track record
88% hit · 15/17- Yes$483 @ 63.4¢
- No$290 @ 72.2¢
- No$1.2k @ 82.2¢
- No$212 @ 89.0¢
- No$90 @ 89.9¢
- No$72 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$486 @ 11.0¢
- No$19 @ 84.0¢
- No$71 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$77 @ 25.0¢
- No$832 @ 69.3¢
- No$89 @ 89.0¢
- No$287 @ 75.9¢
- No$33 @ 79.0¢
- No$420 @ 84.0¢
- No$537 @ 89.5¢
- No$994 @ 99.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Politics | No | $11.3k | 92.1¢ |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Culture | No | $8.5k | 98.0¢ |
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | Politics | No | $3.4k | 98.0¢ |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | — | No | $1.3k | 96.6¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | — | No | $995 | 99.5¢ |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? | Politics | No | $460 | 92.0¢ |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | Politics | No | $450 | 90.0¢ |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Politics | No | $445 | 89.0¢ |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Geopolitics | Yes | $395 | 11.8¢ |
| Will $LAPTOP reach $3.50 by September 30, 2026? | — | Yes | $56 | 51.0¢ |
| Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | — | No | $51 | 81.0¢ |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | Geopolitics | Yes | $32 | 3.2¢ |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | — | No | $16 | 16.0¢ |
- No$11.3k @ 92.1¢
- No$8.5k @ 98.0¢
- Will Iran legalize gay marriage?PoliticsNo$3.4k @ 98.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 96.6¢
- No$995 @ 99.5¢
- Iran nuclear test before 2027?PoliticsNo$460 @ 92.0¢
- No$450 @ 90.0¢
- No$445 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$395 @ 11.8¢
- Yes$56 @ 51.0¢
- No$51 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$32 @ 3.2¢
- No$16 @ 16.0¢