0xf1a2…f1b6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf1a2f936e355b9cb8ff3b9996e7fb2c8a735f1b6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.8pp

ROI

+12%

Win rate

97% @ 86.8¢

Brier

0.043

Resolved

Avg size

$62

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	93% (13/14)	+11%	14
Politics	100% (4/4)	+15%	4

Other14 bets
Hit rate
93% (13/14)
ROI
+11%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+15%

Track record

94% hit · 17/18

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?	No	$296	87.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?	No	$774	86.0¢	Won
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	$168	84.0¢	Won
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$86	86.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?	No	$127	86.1¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?	No	$173	86.5¢	Won
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	$261	85.7¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$882	88.2¢	Won
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	$171	85.7¢	Won
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?	No	$169	84.5¢	Won
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?	No	$121	88.9¢	Won
Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$174	87.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?	No	$169	84.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?	No	$369	88.1¢	Won
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?	No	$192	87.1¢	Won
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$180	89.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?	No	$967	85.5¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	No	$89	89.0¢	Won

Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Won
No$296 @ 87.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Won
No$774 @ 86.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Won
No$168 @ 84.0¢
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$86 @ 86.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?Won
No$127 @ 86.1¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?Won
No$173 @ 86.5¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Won
No$261 @ 85.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Won
No$882 @ 88.2¢
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Won
No$171 @ 85.7¢
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?Won
No$169 @ 84.5¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Won
No$121 @ 88.9¢
Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$174 @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?Won
No$169 @ 84.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?Won
No$369 @ 88.1¢
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?Won
No$192 @ 87.1¢
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$180 @ 89.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?Won
No$967 @ 85.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Won
No$89 @ 89.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$17.6k	87.0¢
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	No	$5	97.6¢
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	No	$4	99.3¢
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Politics	No	$4	92.0¢
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Sports	No	$4	98.7¢
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Politics	No	$4	99.3¢
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$3	99.3¢
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$3	99.2¢
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$3	99.1¢
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	No	$3	99.1¢
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Culture	No	$2	99.2¢
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$2	99.0¢
Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Sports	No	$2	99.1¢
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$1	99.2¢
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	No	$1	99.1¢

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
No$17.6k @ 87.0¢
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?Sports
No$5 @ 97.6¢
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
No$4 @ 99.3¢
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
No$4 @ 92.0¢
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?Sports
No$4 @ 98.7¢
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
No$4 @ 99.3¢
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$3 @ 99.3¢
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$3 @ 99.2¢
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$3 @ 99.1¢
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
No$3 @ 99.1¢
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
No$2 @ 99.2¢
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$2 @ 99.0¢
Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Sports
No$2 @ 99.1¢
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$1 @ 99.2¢
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?Sports
No$1 @ 99.1¢