← Smart money
0x0a53…7a6f
ProfitableEdge
+6.6pp
ROI
+5%
Win rate
45% @ 38.0¢
Brier
0.159
Resolved
3564
Avg size
$66
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 40% (228/572) | +1% | 572 |
| Politics | 44% (54/124) | +5% | 124 |
| Geopolitics | 48% (13/27) | +16% | 27 |
| Sports | 65% (13/20) | +26% | 20 |
| Culture | 50% (1/2) | -45% | 2 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | +120% | 2 |
- Other572 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (228/572)
- ROI
- +1%
- Politics124 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (54/124)
- ROI
- +5%
- Geopolitics27 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (13/27)
- ROI
- +16%
- Sports20 bets
- Hit rate
- 65% (13/20)
- ROI
- +26%
- Culture2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -45%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +120%
Track record
41% hit · 310/747- Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$274 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$53 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$352 @ 58.0¢
- No$44 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$146 @ 47.3¢
- No$2 @ 61.0¢
- No$42 @ 59.8¢
- Yes$30 @ 30.0¢
- No$70 @ 51.2¢
- Yes$52 @ 13.0¢
- No$164 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$84 @ 12.0¢
- No$32 @ 5.3¢
- No$182 @ 78.5¢
- No$139 @ 5.3¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 11.3¢
- No$17 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$81 @ 49.8¢
- Argentina$702 @ 75.5¢
- Yes$29 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$108 @ 17.1¢
- Yes$202 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$96 @ 20.5¢
- Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?LostYes$41 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$91 @ 71.4¢
- Yes$77 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 4.8¢
- Yes$21 @ 10.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$4.6k @ 23.0¢
- No$7 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$189 @ 23.9¢
- Yes$19 @ 2.7¢
- No$2.0k @ 86.4¢
- No$10 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 18.3¢
- Yes$100 @ 16.0¢
- No$1 @ 35.0¢
- No$140 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$736 @ 61.3¢
- Yes$200 @ 86.9¢
- No$142 @ 23.3¢
- Yes$25 @ 5.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | Yes | $5.6k | 87.8¢ |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | No | $1.6k | 88.5¢ |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | No | $992 | 62.0¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Politics | No | $707 | 70.0¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $509 | 63.0¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $504 | 63.0¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Politics | No | $208 | 57.8¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $15 | 6.0¢ |
- Yes$5.6k @ 87.8¢
- No$1.6k @ 88.5¢
- No$992 @ 62.0¢
- No$707 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$509 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$504 @ 63.0¢
- No$208 @ 57.8¢
- Yes$15 @ 6.0¢