0x6770…45fb

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6770bf688b8121331b1c5cfd7723ebd4152545fb
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+15.5pp

ROI

+44%

Win rate

49% @ 33.7¢

Brier

0.192

Resolved

183

Avg size

$118

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	52% (34/66)	+2%	66
Politics	52% (15/29)	+43%	29
Sports	50% (5/10)	-39%	10
Geopolitics	71% (5/7)	+5%	7
Crypto	50% (1/2)	+66%	2
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Culture	100% (1/1)	+36%	1

Other66 bets
Hit rate
52% (34/66)
ROI
+2%
Politics29 bets
Hit rate
52% (15/29)
ROI
+43%
Sports10 bets
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
ROI
-39%
Geopolitics7 bets
Hit rate
71% (5/7)
ROI
+5%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+66%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+36%

Track record

53% hit · 61/116

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$220	22.0¢	Lost
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$49	17.9¢	Won
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$342	72.9¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	Yes	$120	12.0¢	Lost
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$36	37.9¢	Lost
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	$2.0k	99.1¢	Won
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$389	77.7¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	No	$378	97.5¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	$85	17.0¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$6	39.0¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$110	22.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	$54	12.2¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	Yes	$530	53.0¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$290	50.9¢	Won
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?	Yes	$570	40.3¢	Won
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	$2	39.0¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	Yes	$422	42.1¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	$65	53.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	No	$380	38.0¢	Lost
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	Yes	$901	73.3¢	Won
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?	Yes	$250	25.0¢	Won
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$398	33.9¢	Lost
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$240	2.4¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$2.0k	84.0¢	Won
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$5.9k	97.6¢	Won
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$279	14.0¢	Lost
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	$207	6.9¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	Yes	$68	19.9¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	No	$10	76.0¢	Won
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	No	$416	57.0¢	Won
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	$252	66.0¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	$7	74.5¢	Won
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	$177	65.0¢	Won
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	Yes	$1.1k	52.4¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$410	41.0¢	Lost
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	$148	98.9¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$910	91.0¢	Won
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	$5.7k	92.1¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Yes	$8	1.6¢	Lost
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	$856	97.8¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?	No	$177	59.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	No	$480	66.7¢	Won
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	$10	2.5¢	Lost
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	No	$122	34.0¢	Lost
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Yes	$172	62.4¢	Won
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	No	$373	34.4¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	$4.4k	35.1¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	$2.3k	46.0¢	Lost
Will Czechia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	$4	0.9¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$57	62.4¢	Won

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
No$220 @ 22.0¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Won
Yes$49 @ 17.9¢
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Won
Yes$342 @ 72.9¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$120 @ 12.0¢
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$36 @ 37.9¢
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Won
No$2.0k @ 99.1¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
Yes$389 @ 77.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Won
No$378 @ 97.5¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Lost
Yes$85 @ 17.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Lost
No$6 @ 39.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Won
Yes$110 @ 22.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$54 @ 12.2¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Won
Yes$530 @ 53.0¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$290 @ 50.9¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Won
Yes$570 @ 40.3¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Won
Yes$2 @ 39.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Won
Yes$422 @ 42.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$65 @ 53.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Lost
No$380 @ 38.0¢
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?Won
Yes$901 @ 73.3¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Won
Yes$250 @ 25.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$398 @ 33.9¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$240 @ 2.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Won
No$2.0k @ 84.0¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
Yes$5.9k @ 97.6¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Lost
Yes$279 @ 14.0¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$207 @ 6.9¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$68 @ 19.9¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Won
No$10 @ 76.0¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Won
No$416 @ 57.0¢
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Won
No$252 @ 66.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Won
Yes$7 @ 74.5¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Won
No$177 @ 65.0¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 52.4¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$410 @ 41.0¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Won
No$148 @ 98.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$910 @ 91.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Won
No$5.7k @ 92.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Lost
Yes$8 @ 1.6¢
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?Won
No$856 @ 97.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Won
No$177 @ 59.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Won
No$480 @ 66.7¢
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 2.5¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Lost
No$122 @ 34.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Won
Yes$172 @ 62.4¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Lost
No$373 @ 34.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Won
No$4.4k @ 35.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Lost
Yes$2.3k @ 46.0¢
Will Czechia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.9¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$57 @ 62.4¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$13.1k	87.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$7.5k	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$7.5k	50.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	No	$4.3k	93.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	No	$3.5k	95.8¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$1.1k	45.0¢
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	—	No	$767	77.4¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Geopolitics	Yes	$528	70.8¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Culture	Yes	$480	64.5¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Politics	Yes	$362	45.0¢
Will Canada participate in Eurovision 2027?	Culture	Yes	$310	84.4¢
Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?	—	Yes	$296	86.0¢
Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	—	Yes	$279	35.9¢
Will Kyriakos Velopoulos be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	—	No	$263	90.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$247	42.0¢
Will Zoe Konstantopoulou be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	—	No	$208	83.5¢
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?	—	No	$162	92.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$141	37.0¢
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$45	9.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	—	No	$8	64.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$1	93.3¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$13.1k @ 87.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$7.5k @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$7.5k @ 50.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
No$4.3k @ 93.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
No$3.5k @ 95.8¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$1.1k @ 45.0¢
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?—
No$767 @ 77.4¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Geopolitics
Yes$528 @ 70.8¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture
Yes$480 @ 64.5¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics
Yes$362 @ 45.0¢
Will Canada participate in Eurovision 2027?Culture
Yes$310 @ 84.4¢
Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?—
Yes$296 @ 86.0¢
Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?—
Yes$279 @ 35.9¢
Will Kyriakos Velopoulos be the next Prime Minister of Greece?—
No$263 @ 90.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?—
Yes$247 @ 42.0¢
Will Zoe Konstantopoulou be the next Prime Minister of Greece?—
No$208 @ 83.5¢
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?—
No$162 @ 92.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$141 @ 37.0¢
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$45 @ 9.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?—
No$8 @ 64.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
No$1 @ 93.3¢