← Smart money
0xcb69…361e
SharpEdge
+6.0pp
ROI
+22%
Win rate
47% @ 40.9¢
Brier
0.193
Resolved
345
Avg size
$27
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 28% (13/47) | +43% | 47 |
| Sports | 46% (19/41) | +42% | 41 |
| Politics | 56% (20/36) | +4% | 36 |
| Geopolitics | 44% (4/9) | +26% | 9 |
| Tech | 50% (2/4) | -1% | 4 |
| Economy | 33% (1/3) | +57% | 3 |
- Other47 bets
- Hit rate
- 28% (13/47)
- ROI
- +43%
- Sports41 bets
- Hit rate
- 46% (19/41)
- ROI
- +42%
- Politics36 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (20/36)
- ROI
- +4%
- Geopolitics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (4/9)
- ROI
- +26%
- Tech4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- -1%
- Economy3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +57%
Track record
42% hit · 59/140- Yes$10 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 18.9¢
- Over$10 @ 50.0¢
- No$148 @ 64.6¢
- Yes$106 @ 28.8¢
- No$25 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 26.4¢
- Yes$10 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$101 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 11.0¢
- France$40 @ 31.1¢
- Yes$26 @ 32.9¢
- No$90 @ 63.3¢
- Yes$102 @ 33.9¢
- Yes$76 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$29 @ 41.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 30.0¢
- No$53 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$75 @ 58.1¢
- Yes$11 @ 38.7¢
- Yes$41 @ 43.7¢
- Yes$6 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 64.9¢
- Yes$54 @ 35.2¢
- Over$10 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 31.0¢
- No$64 @ 62.3¢
- Yes$118 @ 1.8¢
- Over$10 @ 15.0¢
- No$284 @ 59.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 17.0¢
- No$131 @ 63.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 10.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 51.6¢
- No$121 @ 51.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 35.1¢
- Yes$33 @ 5.8¢
- No$65 @ 56.7¢
- No$131 @ 58.8¢
- No$3 @ 5.2¢
- No$10 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$102 @ 66.5¢
- No$146 @ 77.4¢
- No$278 @ 61.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 6.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 46.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tennessee Titans win the 2026 AFC South? | Sports | Yes | $97 | 6.7¢ |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $62 | 0.3¢ |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $42 | 15.7¢ |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $36 | 24.0¢ |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $35 | 2.8¢ |
| Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2026 NFC East? | Sports | No | $28 | 58.5¢ |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $24 | 26.0¢ |
| Will Aaron Maluleka be the next mayor of Tshwane? | Politics | Yes | $21 | 11.0¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Politics | Yes | $21 | 7.0¢ |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | Politics | Yes | $20 | 13.0¢ |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in October? | Other | Yes | $15 | 27.0¢ |
| Will Cyril Xaba be the next mayor of eThekwini? | Politics | Yes | $9 | 3.7¢ |
- Yes$97 @ 6.7¢
- Yes$62 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$42 @ 15.7¢
- Yes$36 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$35 @ 2.8¢
- No$28 @ 58.5¢
- Yes$24 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 3.7¢