0xcfdc…5a2e

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other385 bets

  Hit rate

  54% (207/385)

  ROI

  +6%

• Sports149 bets

  Hit rate

  43% (64/149)

  ROI

  -11%

• Politics67 bets

  Hit rate

  58% (39/67)

  ROI

  +7%

• Geopolitics19 bets

  Hit rate

  47% (9/19)

  ROI

  +2%

• Crypto10 bets

  Hit rate

  40% (4/10)

  ROI

  +41%

• Economy4 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (3/4)

  ROI

  +56%

• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Lost
  No$3 @ 13.0¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Won
  Yes$158 @ 79.0¢
• Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
• Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Lost
  Yes$14 @ 17.0¢
• Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?Won
  No$16 @ 82.0¢
• Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?Lost
  No$11 @ 1.3¢
• Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Lost
  No$2 @ 63.0¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Lost
  Yes$120 @ 21.6¢
• Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
  No$6 @ 58.0¢
• NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Won
  Yes$54 @ 54.0¢
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Lost
  No$10 @ 51.0¢
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Won
  No$331 @ 55.1¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
  No$8 @ 82.0¢
• Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Won
  Yes$10 @ 88.9¢
• Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
  Yes$2 @ 67.0¢
• Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 24.0¢
• Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Won
  Yes$6 @ 65.0¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Won
  No$15 @ 77.0¢
• Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Won
  Yes$3 @ 63.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
  No$80 @ 80.0¢
• U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?Lost
  Yes$28 @ 25.0¢
• Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 4.0¢
• Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 22.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?Lost
  No$231 @ 75.9¢
• No airdrop in 2025?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
  No$67 @ 67.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Lost
  Yes$40 @ 40.0¢
• Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Won
  No$1 @ 34.0¢
• Will France strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$78 @ 78.4¢
• Will France win on 2026-06-26?Lost
  No$4 @ 43.2¢
• Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
• Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?Lost
  No$45 @ 45.0¢
• Ethereum ETF approved in 2024?Lost
  No$11 @ 73.0¢
• Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
  No$17 @ 86.0¢
• Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Lost
  Yes$31 @ 6.8¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$339 @ 18.7¢
• Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 10.9¢
• Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?Won
  No$9 @ 86.0¢
• Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?Won
  No$7 @ 86.0¢
• Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$180 @ 58.0¢
• Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$584 @ 81.2¢
• Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Won
  No$70 @ 49.7¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$1.2k @ 76.8¢
• Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Lost
  Yes$19 @ 3.1¢
• Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 24.0¢
• Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Won
  Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
• Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$322 @ 71.7¢
• Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 29.0¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Won
  No$26 @ 86.0¢
• Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Won
  Yes$1 @ 20.0¢

Current positions

• Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$1.2k @ 39.0¢
• Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$575 @ 82.0¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$500 @ 41.6¢
• Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
  Yes$338 @ 68.3¢
• Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$311 @ 62.0¢
• Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  Yes$266 @ 80.1¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$177 @ 87.5¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$172 @ 82.0¢
• Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
  Yes$128 @ 36.7¢
• Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$121 @ 93.4¢
• Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$103 @ 95.0¢
• Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Geopolitics
  Yes$98 @ 17.5¢
• Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$96 @ 95.8¢
• Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$94 @ 94.0¢
• Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
  Yes$92 @ 83.3¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Politics
  Yes$69 @ 58.8¢
• Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$56 @ 92.9¢
• Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$52 @ 95.1¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$50 @ 16.6¢
• Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
  Yes$47 @ 69.0¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$45 @ 22.5¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$35 @ 11.3¢
• Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026Crypto
  No$30 @ 81.8¢
• Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$27 @ 80.4¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$22 @ 20.2¢
• Will Spain win the UEFA EURO 2028?Sports
  Yes$22 @ 22.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$22 @ 64.8¢
• Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Politics
  No$21 @ 96.4¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics
  No$20 @ 91.8¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
  Yes$20 @ 67.3¢