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TechActiveends Dec 31, 2026

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

89.8¢

No

10.2¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades
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Smart money here · 7 tracked sharps

Strong
Yes 83%No 17%
7 shown ·
Yes$6.5k @ 90.4¢
Conv
24×
ROI
+6%
Win%
56%
No$1.8k @ 8.8¢
Conv
17×
ROI
+48%
Win%
39%
0x3c59…1766Profitable
Yes$1.4k @ 90.5¢
Conv
6.6×
ROI
+28%
Win%
53%
Yes$679 @ 86.9¢
Conv
9.3×
ROI
+30%
Win%
49%
Yes$270 @ 89.9¢
Conv
7.5×
ROI
+11%
Win%
57%
0xbb9f…557bProfitable
No$29 @ 8.2¢
Conv
2.0×
ROI
+11%
Win%
41%
Yes$15 @ 90.7¢
Conv
1.7×
ROI
+18%
Win%
47%