← Smart money
0x3c59…1766
ProfitableEdge
+37.0pp
ROI
+81%
Win rate
69% @ 32.5¢
Brier
0.329
Resolved
852
Avg size
$166
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 31% (4/13) | +91% | 13 |
| Tech | 40% (2/5) | -5% | 5 |
| Other | 20% (1/5) | -66% | 5 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | +102% | 2 |
- Politics13 bets
- Hit rate
- 31% (4/13)
- ROI
- +91%
- Tech5 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- -5%
- Other5 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (1/5)
- ROI
- -66%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +102%
Track record
32% hit · 8/25- Yes$23.9k @ 22.5¢
- Yes$529 @ 11.5¢
- No$7.0k @ 22.5¢
- Yes$8.3k @ 43.1¢
- Yes$200 @ 12.1¢
- No$4.2k @ 56.3¢
- No$289 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$28.9k @ 40.1¢
- No$655 @ 22.5¢
- Yes$116 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$6.5k @ 20.2¢
- No$11 @ 0.5¢
- No$742 @ 36.2¢
- Yes$50.2k @ 35.7¢
- Yes$355 @ 6.3¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 55.0¢
- Yes$143 @ 2.6¢
- No$712 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 57.0¢
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?WonNo$1.4k @ 51.0¢
- Yes$299 @ 25.9¢
- No$2.0k @ 20.8¢
- No$446 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$556 @ 50.0¢
- No$12 @ 0.1¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$37.9k @ 92.0¢
- No$21.6k @ 68.7¢
- No$8.4k @ 94.0¢
- No$8.3k @ 94.7¢
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?GeopoliticsYes$5.7k @ 50.4¢
- Yes$4.0k @ 55.2¢
- No$3.7k @ 95.8¢
- No$3.6k @ 72.6¢
- Yes$3.5k @ 48.0¢
- Yes$2.7k @ 79.7¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 38.0¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 19.2¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 35.1¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 62.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 21.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 63.7¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 33.9¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 23.0¢
- Yes$985 @ 26.6¢
- No$951 @ 57.1¢
- Yes$503 @ 39.1¢
- Yes$480 @ 39.6¢
- Yes$420 @ 17.3¢
- Yes$200 @ 12.7¢
- Yes$30 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 0.8¢