← Smart money
0x3c59…1766
ProfitableEdge
+57.7pp
ROI
+146%
Win rate
90% @ 32.4¢
Brier
0.403
Resolved
577
Avg size
$151
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 25% (4/16) | +113% | 16 |
| Other | 50% (5/10) | +32% | 10 |
| Tech | 40% (2/5) | -5% | 5 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | +102% | 2 |
- Politics16 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (4/16)
- ROI
- +113%
- Other10 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (5/10)
- ROI
- +32%
- Tech5 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- -5%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +102%
Track record
36% hit · 12/33- Yes$10.6k @ 15.3¢
- No$7.0k @ 22.5¢
- No$289 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$22.4k @ 41.2¢
- Yes$675 @ 10.0¢
- No$11 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$40.5k @ 35.2¢
- Yes$299 @ 25.9¢
- No$12 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$71 @ 6.8¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 57.0¢
- Yes$8.3k @ 43.1¢
- No$2.0k @ 20.8¢
- No$513 @ 23.5¢
- Yes$281 @ 18.8¢
- Yes$308 @ 30.5¢
- No$266 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$529 @ 11.5¢
- No$4.2k @ 56.3¢
- No$655 @ 22.5¢
- Yes$116 @ 2.6¢
- No$742 @ 36.2¢
- Yes$653 @ 6.5¢
- Yes$264 @ 5.9¢
- Yes$143 @ 2.6¢
- No$712 @ 10.0¢
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?WonNo$1.4k @ 51.0¢
- No$446 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$556 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$3.3k @ 24.5¢
- No$1000 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 55.0¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 15.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$37.8k @ 74.7¢
- Yes$19.8k @ 41.0¢
- Yes$13.6k @ 56.9¢
- Yes$12.3k @ 77.8¢
- Yes$8.3k @ 58.4¢
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?GeopoliticsYes$5.7k @ 50.4¢
- No$5.2k @ 73.9¢
- Yes$4.0k @ 34.1¢
- Yes$3.0k @ 38.9¢
- Yes$2.8k @ 59.4¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 29.0¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 44.0¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 35.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 22.5¢
- No$1.5k @ 91.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 21.9¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 31.8¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 33.9¢
- No$951 @ 57.1¢
- No$562 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$503 @ 39.1¢
- Yes$420 @ 17.3¢
- Yes$415 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$200 @ 12.7¢
- Yes$133 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$90 @ 17.9¢
- Yes$18 @ 0.8¢