0xc185…7020

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc185f496c90d72e28131f58a980416e22d317020
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.0pp

ROI

+12%

Win rate

47% @ 43.9¢

Brier

0.199

Resolved

2161

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (510/1020)	-2%	1020
Sports	50% (289/581)	+7%	581
Business	61% (11/18)	+207%	18
Crypto	57% (8/14)	+151%	14
Economy	50% (6/12)	-10%	12
Culture	45% (5/11)	-26%	11
Tech	43% (3/7)	+17%	7
Politics	50% (2/4)	+3%	4

Other1020 bets
Hit rate
50% (510/1020)
ROI
-2%
Sports581 bets
Hit rate
50% (289/581)
ROI
+7%
Business18 bets
Hit rate
61% (11/18)
ROI
+207%
Crypto14 bets
Hit rate
57% (8/14)
ROI
+151%
Economy12 bets
Hit rate
50% (6/12)
ROI
-10%
Culture11 bets
Hit rate
45% (5/11)
ROI
-26%
Tech7 bets
Hit rate
43% (3/7)
ROI
+17%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+3%

Track record

50% hit · 834/1667

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Spread: Utah (-5.5)	Utah	$5	46.0¢	Won
Spread: Utah (-6.5)	Houston	$6	59.8¢	Lost
CF Monterrey vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5	Under	$5	48.0¢	Won
CF Monterrey vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 1.5	Over	$4	40.0¢	Lost
Spread: Suns (-1.5)	Warriors	$3	29.0¢	Lost
Warriors vs. Suns	Suns	$7	69.0¢	Won
Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	$2	16.1¢	Won
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)	Pelicans	$8	81.8¢	Lost
FC Anyang vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 6.5	Over	$0	4.3¢	Lost
FC Anyang vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 7.5	Under	$8	76.3¢	Won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	$11	97.3¢	Won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $51 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Will Al-Sailiya SC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	$3	11.0¢	Lost
Spread: Al-Sailiya SC (-1.5)	Al Rayyan SC	$17	74.0¢	Won
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Lost
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.25 Week of October 19 2026?	No	$10	96.0¢	Won
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $44 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	$2	10.0¢	Lost
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above $210B?	No	$1	12.0¢	Lost
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above $180B?	Yes	$8	87.0¢	Won
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.5B?	No	$4	42.0¢	Lost
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.25B?	Yes	$7	65.5¢	Won
Will AT&T (T) Q3 total revenue be above $31.6B?	Yes	$3	59.0¢	Won
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027?	Yes	$27	45.6¢	Won
Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: O/U 73.5	Over	$0	6.0¢	Lost
Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: O/U 75.5	Under	$8	98.9¢	Won
Spread: Miami (FL) (-19.5)	Miami (FL)	$4	54.0¢	Lost
Spread: Miami (FL) (-20.5)	Florida State	$3	48.6¢	Won
Spread: Appalachian State (-0.5)	Appalachian State	$6	57.5¢	Won
Spread: Appalachian State (-1.5)	Coastal Carolina	$4	38.3¢	Lost
Hawks vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5	Over	$9	84.1¢	Won
Hawks vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5	Under	$1	13.0¢	Lost
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on October 16, 2026?	No	$4	39.6¢	Lost
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.8 on October 16, 2026?	Yes	$6	57.5¢	Won
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.4 on October 16, 2026?	No	$1	26.0¢	Lost
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.2 on October 16, 2026?	Yes	$2	69.0¢	Won
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $335 on October 16?	Yes	$4	4.0¢	Won
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $530 on October 16?	No	$16	14.0¢	Won
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $520 on October 16?	Yes	$4	4.0¢	Won
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on October 16?	No	$15	14.0¢	Lost
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $107.5B by October 31?	Yes	$18	77.7¢	Won
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $112.5B by October 31?	No	$22	96.3¢	Lost
Rams vs. Eagles	Eagles	$6	56.0¢	Lost
Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	$12	78.4¢	Won
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5	Under	$4	72.0¢	Won
Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5	Under	$1	6.0¢	Lost
Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5	Under	$5	44.0¢	Lost
Spread: Giants (-3.5)	Giants	$4	38.0¢	Won
Spread: Kentucky (-12.5)	Kentucky	$2	30.0¢	Won
Titans vs. Giants	Giants	$19	62.7¢	Won
Titans vs. Giants	Titans	$4	37.0¢	Lost

Spread: Utah (-5.5)Won
Utah$5 @ 46.0¢
Spread: Utah (-6.5)Lost
Houston$6 @ 59.8¢
CF Monterrey vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5Won
Under$5 @ 48.0¢
CF Monterrey vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$4 @ 40.0¢
Spread: Suns (-1.5)Lost
Warriors$3 @ 29.0¢
Warriors vs. SunsWon
Suns$7 @ 69.0¢
Pelicans vs. NuggetsWon
Nuggets$2 @ 16.1¢
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Lost
Pelicans$8 @ 81.8¢
FC Anyang vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 6.5Lost
Over$0 @ 4.3¢
FC Anyang vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 7.5Won
Under$8 @ 76.3¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 Week of October 19 2026?Won
No$11 @ 97.3¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $51 Week of October 19 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Will Al-Sailiya SC win on 2026-10-23?Lost
Yes$3 @ 11.0¢
Spread: Al-Sailiya SC (-1.5)Won
Al Rayyan SC$17 @ 74.0¢
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of October 19 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.25 Week of October 19 2026?Won
No$10 @ 96.0¢
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $44 Week of October 19 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above $210B?Lost
No$1 @ 12.0¢
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above $180B?Won
Yes$8 @ 87.0¢
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.5B?Lost
No$4 @ 42.0¢
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.25B?Won
Yes$7 @ 65.5¢
Will AT&T (T) Q3 total revenue be above $31.6B?Won
Yes$3 @ 59.0¢
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027?Won
Yes$27 @ 45.6¢
Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: O/U 73.5Lost
Over$0 @ 6.0¢
Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: O/U 75.5Won
Under$8 @ 98.9¢
Spread: Miami (FL) (-19.5)Lost
Miami (FL)$4 @ 54.0¢
Spread: Miami (FL) (-20.5)Won
Florida State$3 @ 48.6¢
Spread: Appalachian State (-0.5)Won
Appalachian State$6 @ 57.5¢
Spread: Appalachian State (-1.5)Lost
Coastal Carolina$4 @ 38.3¢
Hawks vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Won
Over$9 @ 84.1¢
Hawks vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5Lost
Under$1 @ 13.0¢
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on October 16, 2026?Lost
No$4 @ 39.6¢
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.8 on October 16, 2026?Won
Yes$6 @ 57.5¢
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.4 on October 16, 2026?Lost
No$1 @ 26.0¢
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.2 on October 16, 2026?Won
Yes$2 @ 69.0¢
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $335 on October 16?Won
Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $530 on October 16?Won
No$16 @ 14.0¢
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $520 on October 16?Won
Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on October 16?Lost
No$15 @ 14.0¢
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $107.5B by October 31?Won
Yes$18 @ 77.7¢
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $112.5B by October 31?Lost
No$22 @ 96.3¢
Rams vs. EaglesLost
Eagles$6 @ 56.0¢
Rams vs. EaglesWon
Rams$12 @ 78.4¢
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Won
Under$4 @ 72.0¢
Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5Lost
Under$1 @ 6.0¢
Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Lost
Under$5 @ 44.0¢
Spread: Giants (-3.5)Won
Giants$4 @ 38.0¢
Spread: Kentucky (-12.5)Won
Kentucky$2 @ 30.0¢
Titans vs. GiantsWon
Giants$19 @ 62.7¢
Titans vs. GiantsLost
Titans$4 @ 37.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	Economy	No	$238	81.4¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	Tech	No	$32	75.0¢
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)	Sports	FC Barcelona	$27	94.0¢
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by October 31?	Crypto	No	$27	61.2¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$25	8.7¢
Sabah FK vs. Aarhus GF: Aarhus GF O/U 4.5 Corners	—	Over	$22	37.1¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$21	53.7¢
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 113m by October 31?	Culture	No	$19	91.3¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$17	42.5¢
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $49B by October 31?	Other	No	$17	92.5¢
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by October 31?	Crypto	Yes	$15	35.1¢
Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $50B?	Tech	No	$14	91.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	Tech	Yes	$13	29.6¢
Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Politics	No	$9	86.5¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% in October?	Economy	No	$9	89.0¢
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$7	20.0¢
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 42% or higher?	Tech	Yes	$7	48.6¢
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Tech	No	$6	45.0¢
Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$6	71.0¢
Will Intuit Q1 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.35B?	Tech	Yes	$5	74.0¢
Will Lyft (LYFT) Q3 rides be above 295M?	Other	No	$5	94.0¢
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) Q4 QCT chip revenue be above $9B?	Other	No	$5	92.0¢
Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$4	81.0¢
Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$4	59.0¢
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$4	79.0¢
Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$4	81.0¢
Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $134?	Other	Yes	$4	67.0¢
Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$4	71.0¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?	Other	No	$3	58.7¢
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$3	8.5¢

Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?Economy
No$238 @ 81.4¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Tech
No$32 @ 75.0¢
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Sports
FC Barcelona$27 @ 94.0¢
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by October 31?Crypto
No$27 @ 61.2¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Economy
Yes$25 @ 8.7¢
Sabah FK vs. Aarhus GF: Aarhus GF O/U 4.5 Corners—
Over$22 @ 37.1¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Tech
No$21 @ 53.7¢
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 113m by October 31?Culture
No$19 @ 91.3¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$17 @ 42.5¢
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $49B by October 31?Other
No$17 @ 92.5¢
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by October 31?Crypto
Yes$15 @ 35.1¢
Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $50B?Tech
No$14 @ 91.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Tech
Yes$13 @ 29.6¢
Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Politics
No$9 @ 86.5¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% in October?Economy
No$9 @ 89.0¢
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?Crypto
No$7 @ 20.0¢
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 42% or higher?Tech
Yes$7 @ 48.6¢
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Tech
No$6 @ 45.0¢
Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Crypto
No$6 @ 71.0¢
Will Intuit Q1 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.35B?Tech
Yes$5 @ 74.0¢
Will Lyft (LYFT) Q3 rides be above 295M?Other
No$5 @ 94.0¢
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) Q4 QCT chip revenue be above $9B?Other
No$5 @ 92.0¢
Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto
No$4 @ 81.0¢
Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$4 @ 59.0¢
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
No$4 @ 79.0¢
Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto
No$4 @ 81.0¢
Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $134?Other
Yes$4 @ 67.0¢
Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
No$4 @ 71.0¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?Other
No$3 @ 58.7¢
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$3 @ 8.5¢