← Smart money
0x2b67…b814
ProfitableEdge
—
ROI
+51%
Win rate
74%
Brier
0.224
Resolved
149
Avg size
$115
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
Track record accruing — per-sphere edge appears as markets resolve.
Track record
No resolved bets captured yet.
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? | Tech | No | $5.2k | 99.5¢ |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $5.0k | 99.6¢ |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? | Tech | Yes | $1.6k | 27.7¢ |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 19, 2026? | — | No | $1.3k | 93.9¢ |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? | Politics | Yes | $790 | 79.0¢ |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | Politics | No | $721 | 72.1¢ |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Politics | No | $650 | 65.0¢ |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Politics | Yes | $650 | 65.0¢ |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? | Politics | Yes | $509 | 61.2¢ |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | Politics | No | $360 | 72.0¢ |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $172 | 9.3¢ |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30? | Geopolitics | Yes | $43 | 3.3¢ |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15? | Politics | Yes | $25 | 7.5¢ |
- No$5.2k @ 99.5¢
- Yes$5.0k @ 99.6¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 27.7¢
- No$1.3k @ 93.9¢
- Yes$790 @ 79.0¢
- No$721 @ 72.1¢
- No$650 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$650 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$509 @ 61.2¢
- No$360 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$172 @ 9.3¢
- Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?GeopoliticsYes$43 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$25 @ 7.5¢