← Market consensus

Activeends Aug 31, 2026

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

84.0¢

No

16.0¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 9 tracked sharps

Contested

Yes 56%No 44%

9 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0xbd04…fbb0	No	$909	6.7¢	2.1×	+45%	42%	Profitable
0x7c3d…5c6b	Yes	$748	92.9¢	2.7×	+20%	59%	Sharp
0xc7d0…1f8a	Yes	$550	90.2¢	53×	+33%	27%	Profitable
0x92e5…efee	No	$417	4.9¢	3.1×	+10%	55%	Sharp
0x9f83…6cd9	Yes	$190	94.9¢	1.5×	+43%	68%	Sharp
0x35e3…9188	Yes	$150	93.0¢	3.4×	+40%	56%	Profitable
0xb6ce…895d	Yes	$14	93.1¢	0.4×	+44%	45%	Sharp
0x7b64…8440	Yes	$5	93.4¢	0.9×	+9%	49%	Sharp
0xed19…cb5e	Yes	$3	93.1¢	0.1×	+14%	70%	Sharp

0xbd04…fbb0Profitable

No$909 @ 6.7¢

Conv: 2.1×
ROI: +45%
Win%: 42%

0x7c3d…5c6bSharp

Yes$748 @ 92.9¢

Conv: 2.7×
ROI: +20%
Win%: 59%

0xc7d0…1f8aProfitable

Yes$550 @ 90.2¢

Conv: 53×
ROI: +33%
Win%: 27%

0x92e5…efeeSharp

No$417 @ 4.9¢

Conv: 3.1×
ROI: +10%
Win%: 55%

0x9f83…6cd9Sharp

Yes$190 @ 94.9¢

Conv: 1.5×
ROI: +43%
Win%: 68%

0x35e3…9188Profitable

Yes$150 @ 93.0¢

Conv: 3.4×
ROI: +40%
Win%: 56%

0xb6ce…895dSharp

Yes$14 @ 93.1¢

Conv: 0.4×
ROI: +44%
Win%: 45%

0x7b64…8440Sharp

Yes$5 @ 93.4¢

Conv: 0.9×
ROI: +9%
Win%: 49%

0xed19…cb5eSharp

Yes$3 @ 93.1¢

Conv: 0.1×
ROI: +14%
Win%: 70%