PoliticsActiveends Nov 16, 2026

US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?

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Yes

49.0¢

No

51.0¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 13 tracked sharps

Lean

No 61%Yes 39%

Include 4 outside the consensus pool14 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x80a0…5708	No	$6.9k	53.5¢	30×	+6%	35%	Sharp
0x62e9…fbb9	Yes	$5.5k	58.0¢	17×	+16%	94%	Sharp
0xd426…334a	No	$2.3k	54.4¢	30×	+36%	36%	Sharp
0x6d9f…9790	No	$1.2k	40.0¢	4.8×	+13%	47%	Sharp
0xd426…334a	Yes	$760	39.0¢	10×	+36%	36%	Sharp
0x122c…821f	No	$684	60.4¢	2.2×	+71%	74%	Sharp
0x1e3a…9e14	Yes	$379	56.0¢	5.0×	+7%	41%	Sharp
0xa9f2…6c8e	Yes	$250	58.0¢	3.3×	+9%	50%	Sharp
0xb51b…b4d9	Yes	$100	66.0¢	0.7×	+12%	65%	Sharp
0x6bc7…4ad4	No	$98	49.0¢	3.1×	+83%	44%	Profitable
0x8dab…e581	Yes	$75	44.3¢	1.2×	+9%	49%	Sharp
0x392a…262d	No	$22	43.0¢	0.3×	+9%	57%	Sharp
0x0c2c…dce3	No	$20	58.4¢	2.3×	+12%	68%	Sharp
0x9352…2227	Yes	$14	53.7¢	0.1×	+15%	57%	Sharp

0x80a0…5708Sharp

No$6.9k @ 53.5¢

Conv: 30×
ROI: +6%
Win%: 35%

0x62e9…fbb9Sharp

Yes$5.5k @ 58.0¢

Conv: 17×
ROI: +16%
Win%: 94%

0xd426…334aSharp

No$2.3k @ 54.4¢

Conv: 30×
ROI: +36%
Win%: 36%

0x6d9f…9790Sharp

No$1.2k @ 40.0¢

Conv: 4.8×
ROI: +13%
Win%: 47%

0xd426…334aSharp

Yes$760 @ 39.0¢

Conv: 10×
ROI: +36%
Win%: 36%

0x122c…821fSharp

No$684 @ 60.4¢

Conv: 2.2×
ROI: +71%
Win%: 74%

0x1e3a…9e14Sharp

Yes$379 @ 56.0¢

Conv: 5.0×
ROI: +7%
Win%: 41%

0xa9f2…6c8eSharp

Yes$250 @ 58.0¢

Conv: 3.3×
ROI: +9%
Win%: 50%

0xb51b…b4d9Sharp

Yes$100 @ 66.0¢

Conv: 0.7×
ROI: +12%
Win%: 65%

0x6bc7…4ad4Profitable

No$98 @ 49.0¢

Conv: 3.1×
ROI: +83%
Win%: 44%

0x8dab…e581Sharp

Yes$75 @ 44.3¢

Conv: 1.2×
ROI: +9%
Win%: 49%

0x392a…262dSharp

No$22 @ 43.0¢

Conv: 0.3×
ROI: +9%
Win%: 57%

0x0c2c…dce3Sharp

No$20 @ 58.4¢

Conv: 2.3×
ROI: +12%
Win%: 68%

0x9352…2227Sharp

Yes$14 @ 53.7¢

Conv: 0.1×
ROI: +15%
Win%: 57%