← Smart money
0x1e3a…9e14
SharpEdge
+2.2pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
25% @ 22.4¢
Brier
0.098
Resolved
3534
Avg size
$49
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 45% (88/194) | +1% | 194 |
| Sports | 41% (36/88) | -6% | 88 |
| Politics | 66% (45/68) | +27% | 68 |
| Geopolitics | 70% (16/23) | +25% | 23 |
| Crypto | 67% (2/3) | +71% | 3 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +104% | 1 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other194 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (88/194)
- ROI
- +1%
- Sports88 bets
- Hit rate
- 41% (36/88)
- ROI
- -6%
- Politics68 bets
- Hit rate
- 66% (45/68)
- ROI
- +27%
- Geopolitics23 bets
- Hit rate
- 70% (16/23)
- ROI
- +25%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +71%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +104%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
50% hit · 188/378- Karmine Corp$305 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$144 @ 72.0¢
- No$546 @ 60.0¢
- Toronto Tempo$67 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$68 @ 2.9¢
- Phoenix Mercury$134 @ 18.0¢
- Team Lynx$289 @ 52.0¢
- FURIA$209 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$56 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$77 @ 4.1¢
- No$512 @ 89.3¢
- No$355 @ 88.7¢
- Aurora Gaming$307 @ 71.0¢
- Zachary Svajda$208 @ 13.0¢
- Over$306 @ 51.0¢
- No$264 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$834 @ 17.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 65.0¢
- No$441 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$157 @ 7.0¢
- NRG$333 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 60.3¢
- Under$23 @ 55.0¢
- Fiona Ferro$114 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$146 @ 5.2¢
- No$107 @ 20.6¢
- Spirit Academy$310 @ 45.0¢
- Adrian Mannarino$260 @ 13.0¢
- 3DMAX$328 @ 57.0¢
- No$230 @ 64.7¢
- St. Louis Cardinals$816 @ 34.0¢
- Louisiana$344 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$110 @ 27.5¢
- Yes$92 @ 23.0¢
- SF$328 @ 50.0¢
- Over$412 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 44.0¢
- Knicks$645 @ 43.0¢
- No$392 @ 65.4¢
- Yes$178 @ 78.9¢
- San Francisco Giants$138 @ 39.0¢
- No$704 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$415 @ 83.0¢
- Magda Linette$130 @ 5.0¢
- Over$74 @ 45.0¢
- Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs ALKA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 PlayoffsLostALKA$200 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$237 @ 59.2¢
- Eliot Spizzirri$400 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$199 @ 66.2¢
- Over$285 @ 40.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$3.5k @ 78.5¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 83.0¢
- No$1.7k @ 78.2¢
- No$1.1k @ 87.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 51.4¢
- No$1.0k @ 72.6¢
- No$930 @ 93.0¢
- No$744 @ 93.0¢
- Yes$716 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$644 @ 11.3¢
- Yes$631 @ 53.8¢
- No$614 @ 70.0¢
- No$584 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$516 @ 86.0¢
- No$510 @ 65.0¢
- No$477 @ 95.3¢
- No$463 @ 92.6¢
- Yes$448 @ 34.5¢
- LOUD$439 @ 65.0¢
- No$414 @ 91.0¢
- No$409 @ 89.0¢
- Team Vitality$409 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$406 @ 50.1¢
- No$405 @ 81.0¢
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$391 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$387 @ 51.0¢
- No$364 @ 95.0¢
- No$356 @ 89.0¢
- BBL$333 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$322 @ 18.8¢