← Smart money
0x80a0…5708
SharpEdge
+13.3pp
ROI
+6%
Win rate
39% @ 26.2¢
Brier
0.138
Resolved
304
Avg size
$193
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 19% (4/21) | -26% | 21 |
| Politics | 0% (0/9) | -100% | 9 |
| Geopolitics | 33% (1/3) | +30% | 3 |
| Sports | 50% (1/2) | +232% | 2 |
- Other21 bets
- Hit rate
- 19% (4/21)
- ROI
- -26%
- Politics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/9)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +30%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +232%
Track record
17% hit · 6/35- Yes$126 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$703 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$3.3k @ 14.9¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 26.3¢
- No$19.5k @ 75.1¢
- Yes$420 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$69 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 28.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$3.3k @ 10.6¢
- Yes$756 @ 3.6¢
- No$300 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$244 @ 3.4¢
- Yes$17.1k @ 79.9¢
- Yes$83 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$330 @ 7.3¢
- No$9.2k @ 85.0¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 47.5¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 27.8¢
- No$1.1k @ 2.2¢
- Yes$40 @ 8.0¢
- No$26.1k @ 59.1¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 21.1¢
- No$169 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 12.0¢
- Yes$159 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$21.2k @ 39.8¢
- Yes$64 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$580 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$280 @ 7.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 31.9¢
- Yes$362 @ 17.5¢
- No$24.2k @ 73.4¢
- Yes$8.9k @ 78.0¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 21.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$21.3k @ 84.5¢
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?GeopoliticsYes$10.6k @ 24.7¢
- No$9.2k @ 69.4¢
- Yes$7.4k @ 17.9¢
- Yes$6.3k @ 56.3¢
- Yes$5.8k @ 28.8¢
- No$5.1k @ 90.3¢
- No$4.2k @ 88.4¢
- No$3.6k @ 89.0¢
- Yes$2.7k @ 17.1¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 7.9¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 5.5¢
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?GeopoliticsYes$1.1k @ 14.0¢
- Yes$685 @ 17.5¢
- Yes$499 @ 22.7¢
- Yes$428 @ 10.7¢
- Yes$360 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$160 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$150 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$150 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$149 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$99 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$66 @ 42.0¢