← Smart money
0x6bc7…4ad4
ProfitableEdge
+27.9pp
ROI
+170%
Win rate
49% @ 20.8¢
Brier
0.370
Resolved
404
Avg size
$30
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 35% (15/43) | +223% | 43 |
| Politics | 9% (1/11) | -22% | 11 |
| Geopolitics | 36% (4/11) | +71% | 11 |
| Sports | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Economy | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other43 bets
- Hit rate
- 35% (15/43)
- ROI
- +223%
- Politics11 bets
- Hit rate
- 9% (1/11)
- ROI
- -22%
- Geopolitics11 bets
- Hit rate
- 36% (4/11)
- ROI
- +71%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
29% hit · 20/68- Yes$4 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 35.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$445 @ 28.4¢
- Yes$12 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$18 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$296 @ 13.3¢
- No$4 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$15 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$189 @ 29.1¢
- Yes$249 @ 83.0¢
- No$265 @ 88.3¢
- Yes$228 @ 18.9¢
- Yes$857 @ 25.2¢
- No$6 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$718 @ 5.2¢
- No$975 @ 88.6¢
- No$166 @ 19.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 17.0¢
- No$203 @ 3.2¢
- Yes$20 @ 10.0¢
- No$6 @ 64.0¢
- No$290 @ 72.5¢
- Yes$166 @ 26.4¢
- Ige$1 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$129 @ 8.0¢
- No$77 @ 56.0¢
- No$171 @ 12.2¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 81.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 6.8¢
- No$2 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 57.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 0.9¢
- No$1.8k @ 70.5¢
- Yes$26 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$46 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$29 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 3.3¢
- No$1 @ 0.1¢
- No$3 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$12 @ 38.6¢
- Yes$192 @ 48.0¢
- No$7 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$152 @ 15.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?GeopoliticsNo$248 @ 70.0¢
- No$223 @ 67.7¢
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?GeopoliticsYes$214 @ 47.7¢
- Yes$80 @ 35.8¢
- Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?GeopoliticsYes$52 @ 13.5¢
- Yes$47 @ 30.6¢
- Yes$45 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$44 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$36 @ 10.1¢
- Yes$32 @ 39.5¢
- Yes$30 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$29 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 15.5¢
- Yes$20 @ 32.2¢
- Yes$20 @ 4.9¢
- Yes$18 @ 18.0¢
- Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?GeopoliticsYes$16 @ 6.8¢
- Yes$15 @ 90.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 1.9¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceYes$11 @ 9.8¢
- No$9 @ 93.0¢
- No$7 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.2¢
- Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?GeopoliticsYes$2 @ 3.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.4¢