0x122c…821f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x122cdd9db64fd8dc3ebab813218e3effe21f821f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+16.3pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

88% @ 72.0¢

Brier

0.085

Resolved

102

Avg size

$357

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	100% (6/6)	+22%	6
Politics	67% (2/3)	+30%	3
Crypto	50% (1/2)	+1%	2

Other6 bets
Hit rate
100% (6/6)
ROI
+22%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+30%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+1%

Track record

82% hit · 9/11

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$38	31.6¢	Won
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$46	39.4¢	Won
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	$70	47.8¢	Won
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	Yes	$48	25.5¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$6.2k	87.3¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	No	$78	27.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?	No	$7.8k	76.8¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	$31	7.9¢	Lost
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	Yes	$4	62.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$333.9k	99.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$253	13.8¢	Lost

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
No$38 @ 31.6¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Won
No$46 @ 39.4¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Won
Yes$70 @ 47.8¢
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?Won
Yes$48 @ 25.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$6.2k @ 87.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Won
No$78 @ 27.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?Won
No$7.8k @ 76.8¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Lost
Yes$31 @ 7.9¢
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?Won
Yes$4 @ 62.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$333.9k @ 99.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$253 @ 13.8¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$199.2k	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$199.2k	50.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$4.5k	50.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$3.3k	50.0¢
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Science	Yes	$1.7k	61.6¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Tech	No	$636	89.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$322	59.3¢
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Tech	Yes	$275	85.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$216	10.9¢
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	—	No	$195	92.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$106	21.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$103	31.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$100	15.0¢
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	—	Yes	$66	66.0¢
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$51	16.9¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Politics	Yes	$38	19.0¢
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$25	9.6¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$199.2k @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$199.2k @ 50.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$4.5k @ 50.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$3.3k @ 50.0¢
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Science
Yes$1.7k @ 61.6¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech
No$636 @ 89.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$322 @ 59.3¢
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Tech
Yes$275 @ 85.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$216 @ 10.9¢
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?—
No$195 @ 92.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$106 @ 21.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$103 @ 31.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$100 @ 15.0¢
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?—
Yes$66 @ 66.0¢
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$51 @ 16.9¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics
Yes$38 @ 19.0¢
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Politics
Yes$25 @ 9.6¢