0x122c…821f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x122cdd9db64fd8dc3ebab813218e3effe21f821f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.5pp

ROI

+69%

Win rate

69% @ 60.8¢

Brier

0.191

Resolved

1564

Avg size

$304

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	59% (135/228)	+11%	228
Politics	64% (23/36)	-38%	36
Geopolitics	100% (8/8)	+4%	8
Tech	75% (3/4)	+15%	4
Crypto	50% (2/4)	+0%	4

Other228 bets
Hit rate
59% (135/228)
ROI
+11%
Politics36 bets
Hit rate
64% (23/36)
ROI
-38%
Geopolitics8 bets
Hit rate
100% (8/8)
ROI
+4%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+15%
Crypto4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+0%

Track record

61% hit · 171/280

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	$38	19.0¢	Lost
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Yes	$180	88.2¢	Won
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	No	$1.1k	80.1¢	Won
Was Trump hacked?	No	$2.0k	89.0¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$2.0k	68.8¢	Lost
No airdrop in 2025?	Yes	$126	15.6¢	Lost
Will Martin Shkreli appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?	No	$122	76.0¢	Won
Pump.fun airdrop in 2024?	Yes	$40	40.0¢	Lost
Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?	Yes	$1.2k	87.0¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on July 9?	Yes	$1	3.8¢	Lost
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?	Yes	$14	14.1¢	Lost
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?	No	$1.0k	85.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Hanukkah" while addressing the nation on December 17?	No	$8	44.0¢	Won
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	$1.2k	88.5¢	Won
Israel announces ceasefire by January 17?	No	$143	70.4¢	Lost
Iran strike on Qatar today?	No	$328	69.7¢	Lost
Iran strike on Qatar today?	Yes	$206	50.2¢	Won
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	$8	83.0¢	Won
Caroline Ellison new boyfriend by January 31?	No	$73	88.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?	No	$113	87.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Eight War" or "Eighth War" while addressing the nation on December 17?	No	$4	47.5¢	Lost
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	$170	22.0¢	Lost
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	$154	77.0¢	Won
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?	No	$4.3k	88.2¢	Won
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	$516	64.5¢	Lost
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?	Yes	$25	40.7¢	Won
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	Yes	$1.6k	88.9¢	Won
Will JD Vance say "Radical Left" during the fundraiser?	Yes	$4	18.7¢	Lost
0x19be7c46…	Yes	$1.9k	88.0¢	Won
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays	Blue Jays	$2	38.0¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?	Yes	$61	58.4¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$208	86.4¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$38	31.6¢	Won
Panthers vs. Oilers	Oilers	$27	54.0¢	Lost
Will Timmy Burch make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?	No	$24	53.3¢	Won
Will Thomas Lee appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?	No	$50	89.0¢	Won
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$159	88.6¢	Won
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 23?	Yes	$35	86.0¢	Won
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$46	39.4¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$798	79.8¢	Won
Will Bill or Hillary publicly testify before congress by Feb 28?	No	$34	68.7¢	Won
Trump executive order ending Department of Education by Thursday?	Yes	$89	89.0¢	Won
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	Yes	$1.2k	71.6¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$157	37.0¢	Lost
Will Türkiye win on 2025-11-18?	Yes	$7	7.0¢	Lost
Will FARTCOIN be listed on Hyperliquid this week?	No	$17	6.3¢	Lost
Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?	No	$89	53.3¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$66.9k	83.5¢	Won
Will DOGE audit the Federal Reserve before May?	No	$39	80.0¢	Won
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	No	$10	2.0¢	Lost

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Lost
Yes$38 @ 19.0¢
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Won
Yes$180 @ 88.2¢
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Won
No$1.1k @ 80.1¢
Was Trump hacked?Won
No$2.0k @ 89.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
No$2.0k @ 68.8¢
No airdrop in 2025?Lost
Yes$126 @ 15.6¢
Will Martin Shkreli appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?Won
No$122 @ 76.0¢
Pump.fun airdrop in 2024?Lost
Yes$40 @ 40.0¢
Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 87.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on July 9?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.8¢
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Lost
Yes$14 @ 14.1¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?Won
No$1.0k @ 85.0¢
Will Trump say "Hanukkah" while addressing the nation on December 17?Won
No$8 @ 44.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Won
No$1.2k @ 88.5¢
Israel announces ceasefire by January 17?Lost
No$143 @ 70.4¢
Iran strike on Qatar today?Lost
No$328 @ 69.7¢
Iran strike on Qatar today?Won
Yes$206 @ 50.2¢
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Won
Yes$8 @ 83.0¢
Caroline Ellison new boyfriend by January 31?Won
No$73 @ 88.0¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?Won
No$113 @ 87.0¢
Will Trump say "Eight War" or "Eighth War" while addressing the nation on December 17?Lost
No$4 @ 47.5¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Lost
Yes$170 @ 22.0¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Won
No$154 @ 77.0¢
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?Won
No$4.3k @ 88.2¢
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Lost
No$516 @ 64.5¢
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Won
Yes$25 @ 40.7¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Won
Yes$1.6k @ 88.9¢
Will JD Vance say "Radical Left" during the fundraiser?Lost
Yes$4 @ 18.7¢
0x19be7c46…Won
Yes$1.9k @ 88.0¢
Dodgers vs. Blue JaysLost
Blue Jays$2 @ 38.0¢
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?Won
Yes$61 @ 58.4¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Won
No$208 @ 86.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
No$38 @ 31.6¢
Panthers vs. OilersLost
Oilers$27 @ 54.0¢
Will Timmy Burch make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?Won
No$24 @ 53.3¢
Will Thomas Lee appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?Won
No$50 @ 89.0¢
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Won
Yes$159 @ 88.6¢
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 23?Won
Yes$35 @ 86.0¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Won
No$46 @ 39.4¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Won
Yes$798 @ 79.8¢
Will Bill or Hillary publicly testify before congress by Feb 28?Won
No$34 @ 68.7¢
Trump executive order ending Department of Education by Thursday?Won
Yes$89 @ 89.0¢
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 71.6¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$157 @ 37.0¢
Will Türkiye win on 2025-11-18?Lost
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Will FARTCOIN be listed on Hyperliquid this week?Lost
No$17 @ 6.3¢
Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?Lost
No$89 @ 53.3¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$66.9k @ 83.5¢
Will DOGE audit the Federal Reserve before May?Won
No$39 @ 80.0¢
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?Lost
No$10 @ 2.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$170.6k	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$170.6k	50.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$4.5k	50.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$3.3k	50.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2.0k	66.3¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Tech	No	$1.6k	86.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$640	64.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$322	59.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$216	10.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$106	21.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$103	31.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$100	15.0¢
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$51	16.9¢
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$25	9.6¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$170.6k @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$170.6k @ 50.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$4.5k @ 50.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$3.3k @ 50.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$2.0k @ 66.3¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech
No$1.6k @ 86.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$640 @ 64.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$322 @ 59.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$216 @ 10.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$106 @ 21.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$103 @ 31.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$100 @ 15.0¢
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$51 @ 16.9¢
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Politics
Yes$25 @ 9.6¢