PoliticsActiveends Oct 4, 2026

Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

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Yes

27.5¢

No

72.5¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 3 tracked sharps

Contested

No 59%Yes 41%

Include 2 outside the consensus pool3 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x629b…995a	No	$280	63.0¢	1.1×	+6%	54%	Sharp
0xa066…710b	Yes	$235	26.8¢	13×	+23%	43%	Profitable
0x9163…82ae	No	$64	64.0¢	4.2×	+7%	19%	Sharp

0x629b…995aSharp

No$280 @ 63.0¢

Conv: 1.1×
ROI: +6%
Win%: 54%

0xa066…710bProfitable

Yes$235 @ 26.8¢

Conv: 13×
ROI: +23%
Win%: 43%

0x9163…82aeSharp

No$64 @ 64.0¢

Conv: 4.2×
ROI: +7%
Win%: 19%