← Smart money
0xc8b9…b836
SharpEdge
+4.4pp
ROI
+20%
Win rate
39% @ 34.3¢
Brier
0.133
Resolved
4292
Avg size
$199
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 72% (170/235) | +33% | 235 |
| Other | 44% (96/216) | +10% | 216 |
- Politics235 bets
- Hit rate
- 72% (170/235)
- ROI
- +33%
- Other216 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (96/216)
- ROI
- +10%
Track record
59% hit · 266/451- No$3.7k @ 85.7¢
- Yes$735 @ 33.7¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 69.5¢
- No$871 @ 87.6¢
- Yes$6.4k @ 87.1¢
- No$504 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$857 @ 29.5¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 65.8¢
- No$8 @ 75.0¢
- Will Democrats win 9 or more of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?WonYes$568 @ 41.8¢
- Yes$59 @ 42.0¢
- No$1.9k @ 62.0¢
- Yes$2.7k @ 61.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 68.2¢
- Yes$57 @ 14.7¢
- Yes$14.4k @ 35.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$4.6k @ 69.4¢
- No$785 @ 68.4¢
- No$606 @ 36.1¢
- No$1.6k @ 39.0¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 36.1¢
- Yes$502 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 40.0¢
- No$2.1k @ 72.5¢
- Yes$903 @ 72.2¢
- Yes$2.8k @ 88.0¢
- No$2.5k @ 87.8¢
- Yes$5.5k @ 58.7¢
- Yes$458 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$7 @ 24.0¢
- No$546 @ 86.6¢
- Yes$432 @ 78.5¢
- No$7.4k @ 81.2¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 81.4¢
- No$98 @ 70.0¢
- No$6.0k @ 85.9¢
- Yes$960 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$449 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$528 @ 50.0¢
- No$1.9k @ 78.1¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 77.3¢
- Yes$690 @ 79.2¢
- No$44 @ 50.6¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 86.5¢
- No$3 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 55.3¢
- No$2.0k @ 88.3¢
- Yes$3.1k @ 81.7¢
- No$602 @ 66.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$5.2k @ 81.0¢
- No$4.7k @ 82.5¢
- No$4.6k @ 80.1¢
- Yes$4.4k @ 65.1¢
- No$3.7k @ 85.7¢
- Yes$3.7k @ 76.3¢
- No$3.1k @ 74.2¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 87.1¢
- No$2.2k @ 29.0¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 46.1¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 35.5¢
- Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?PoliticsNo$898 @ 75.5¢
- Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?PoliticsYes$835 @ 26.7¢
- Yes$832 @ 34.1¢
- Yes$750 @ 36.8¢
- Yes$735 @ 33.7¢
- Yes$614 @ 94.8¢
- No$582 @ 68.9¢
- Yes$552 @ 27.4¢
- No$526 @ 35.3¢
- Yes$520 @ 44.3¢
- No$467 @ 87.9¢
- Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%?PoliticsNo$383 @ 79.0¢
- No$323 @ 89.3¢
- Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?PoliticsNo$307 @ 85.9¢
- No$307 @ 78.7¢
- No$279 @ 75.4¢
- Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?PoliticsYes$169 @ 10.2¢
- Yes$120 @ 26.0¢
- Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?PoliticsYes$63 @ 25.0¢