← Smart money
0x49ab…b629
ProfitableEdge
+16.5pp
ROI
+202%
Win rate
32% @ 15.7¢
Brier
0.250
Resolved
56
Avg size
$8
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 35% (17/48) | +160% | 48 |
- Politics48 bets
- Hit rate
- 35% (17/48)
- ROI
- +160%
Track record
35% hit · 17/48- Yes$20 @ 17.9¢
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–12%?LostYes$1 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$70 @ 31.7¢
- Yes$6 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$7 @ 13.6¢
- Yes$4 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$6 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 5.4¢
- Yes$6 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 8.8¢
- Yes$20 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 11.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 17.2¢
- Yes$13 @ 6.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 8.8¢
- Yes$29 @ 12.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 27.5¢
- Yes$9 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 15.7¢
- Yes$16 @ 9.6¢
- Yes$8 @ 21.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 19.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$7 @ 4.1¢
- Yes$6 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 6.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 22.3¢
- No$20 @ 43.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 23.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 8.7¢
- Yes$10 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 19.8¢
- Yes$8 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 34.7¢
- Yes$4 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 8.5¢
- Yes$51 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$51 @ 27.1¢
- Yes$8 @ 19.8¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%? | Politics | Yes | $70 | 31.7¢ |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%? | Politics | Yes | $20 | 17.9¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 20.0¢ |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%? | Politics | Yes | $8 | 17.0¢ |
| Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | Politics | Yes | $6 | 20.0¢ |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%? | Politics | Yes | $6 | 7.2¢ |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–12%? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.4¢ |
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?PoliticsYes$70 @ 31.7¢
- Yes$20 @ 17.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 7.2¢
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–12%?PoliticsYes$1 @ 0.4¢