PoliticsActiveends Oct 5, 2026

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 42% and 45% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

36.0¢

No

64.0¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 4 tracked sharps

Lean

No 73%Yes 27%

4 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x629b…995a	No	$406	62.3¢	1.5×	+6%	54%	Sharp
0xd24b…ef76	No	$300	60.0¢	1.9×	+27%	66%	Sharp
0xa066…710b	Yes	$150	37.5¢	8.2×	+23%	43%	Profitable
0x88c4…129a	Yes	$106	40.0¢	0.1×	+37%	74%	Sharp

0x629b…995aSharp

No$406 @ 62.3¢

Conv: 1.5×
ROI: +6%
Win%: 54%

0xd24b…ef76Sharp

No$300 @ 60.0¢

Conv: 1.9×
ROI: +27%
Win%: 66%

0xa066…710bProfitable

Yes$150 @ 37.5¢

Conv: 8.2×
ROI: +23%
Win%: 43%

0x88c4…129aSharp

Yes$106 @ 40.0¢

Conv: 0.1×
ROI: +37%
Win%: 74%