PoliticsActiveends Nov 15, 2026

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?

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Yes

54.5¢

No

45.5¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 10 tracked sharps

Contested

Yes 53%No 47%

Include 6 outside the consensus pool10 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x09cc…421a	Yes	$3.4k	43.2¢	19×	+69%	76%	Sharp
0x9648…6825	No	$3.4k	59.0¢	16×	+41%	39%	Sharp
0x77c3…00c8	No	$1.1k	54.2¢	9.5×	+13%	51%	Sharp
0x2c39…56dc	Yes	$1.0k	41.0¢	2.9×	+32%	48%	Sharp
0xfc2f…10c7	Yes	$472	45.0¢	1.2×	+52%	42%	Sharp
0x3825…04e8	Yes	$204	45.3¢	17×	+8%	59%	Sharp
0x3e71…f97b	No	$159	53.0¢	2.4×	+23%	50%	Sharp
0x12ce…928f	Yes	$54	54.0¢	1.5×	+8%	69%	Sharp
0x9238…b73e	Yes	$41	41.0¢	1.9×	+7%	36%	Sharp
0x727e…8b9d	No	$16	58.4¢	3.3×	+39%	49%	Sharp

0x09cc…421aSharp

Yes$3.4k @ 43.2¢

Conv: 19×
ROI: +69%
Win%: 76%

0x9648…6825Sharp

No$3.4k @ 59.0¢

Conv: 16×
ROI: +41%
Win%: 39%

0x77c3…00c8Sharp

No$1.1k @ 54.2¢

Conv: 9.5×
ROI: +13%
Win%: 51%

0x2c39…56dcSharp

Yes$1.0k @ 41.0¢

Conv: 2.9×
ROI: +32%
Win%: 48%

0xfc2f…10c7Sharp

Yes$472 @ 45.0¢

Conv: 1.2×
ROI: +52%
Win%: 42%

0x3825…04e8Sharp

Yes$204 @ 45.3¢

Conv: 17×
ROI: +8%
Win%: 59%

0x3e71…f97bSharp

No$159 @ 53.0¢

Conv: 2.4×
ROI: +23%
Win%: 50%

0x12ce…928fSharp

Yes$54 @ 54.0¢

Conv: 1.5×
ROI: +8%
Win%: 69%

0x9238…b73eSharp

Yes$41 @ 41.0¢

Conv: 1.9×
ROI: +7%
Win%: 36%

0x727e…8b9dSharp

No$16 @ 58.4¢

Conv: 3.3×
ROI: +39%
Win%: 49%