← Smart money
0x09cc…421a
SharpEdge
+23.4pp
ROI
+69%
Win rate
76% @ 53.0¢
Brier
0.209
Resolved
161
Avg size
$175
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 51% (18/35) | +70% | 35 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +21% | 1 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +108% | 1 |
- Other35 bets
- Hit rate
- 51% (18/35)
- ROI
- +70%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +21%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +108%
Track record
54% hit · 20/37- No$134 @ 67.2¢
- Yes$109 @ 59.3¢
- No$51 @ 68.3¢
- No$5.1k @ 57.6¢
- No$28 @ 36.4¢
- No$183 @ 40.6¢
- No$6 @ 25.8¢
- Yes$3.4k @ 38.6¢
- No$68 @ 58.2¢
- No$10.4k @ 63.5¢
- Yes$20 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 52.0¢
- No$8 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$628 @ 82.6¢
- No$22 @ 56.0¢
- No$3 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 48.1¢
- No$3.0k @ 73.8¢
- Yes$601 @ 66.0¢
- Astralis$15 @ 45.0¢
- No$115 @ 74.9¢
- No$6 @ 62.0¢
- No$7 @ 42.2¢
- No$34 @ 64.5¢
- No$22 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 13.8¢
- No$64 @ 41.2¢
- No$82 @ 56.7¢
- No$6 @ 47.5¢
- Yes$427 @ 61.1¢
- Yes$12 @ 33.0¢
- No$12 @ 54.0¢
- No$22 @ 56.0¢
- No$37 @ 61.5¢
- No$62 @ 62.5¢
- No$7 @ 73.0¢
- No$276 @ 37.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Politics | Yes | $11.4k | 49.4¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Politics | Yes | $5.8k | 38.6¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Politics | Yes | $5.7k | 38.6¢ |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $4.7k | 67.8¢ |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $4.2k | 79.5¢ |
- Yes$11.4k @ 49.4¢
- Yes$5.8k @ 38.6¢
- Yes$5.7k @ 38.6¢
- No$4.7k @ 67.8¢
- No$4.2k @ 79.5¢