← Smart money
0x727e…8b9d
SharpEdge
+6.1pp
ROI
+39%
Win rate
49% @ 43.4¢
Brier
0.189
Resolved
2161
Avg size
$5
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 53% (357/673) | +43% | 673 |
| Politics | 55% (96/173) | +24% | 173 |
| Sports | 31% (5/16) | -25% | 16 |
| Geopolitics | 67% (8/12) | -7% | 12 |
| Culture | 25% (1/4) | -53% | 4 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | +123% | 2 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Science | 100% (1/1) | +30% | 1 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +19% | 1 |
- Other673 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (357/673)
- ROI
- +43%
- Politics173 bets
- Hit rate
- 55% (96/173)
- ROI
- +24%
- Sports16 bets
- Hit rate
- 31% (5/16)
- ROI
- -25%
- Geopolitics12 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (8/12)
- ROI
- -7%
- Culture4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -53%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +123%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Science1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +30%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +19%
Track record
53% hit · 470/883- Yes$4 @ 18.0¢
- No$16 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 57.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
- No$4 @ 72.0¢
- No$2 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 72.5¢
- Yes$9 @ 21.0¢
- No$20 @ 98.8¢
- No$44 @ 88.0¢
- No$18 @ 61.3¢
- No$19 @ 46.5¢
- Yes$8 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.3¢
- No$12 @ 38.7¢
- Yes$26 @ 52.0¢
- No$65 @ 92.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 41.2¢
- No$18 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
- No$11 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 36.0¢
- No$18 @ 92.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 40.0¢
- No$18 @ 88.7¢
- No$4 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 60.0¢
- No$15 @ 25.8¢
- Yes$13 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 95.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 96.0¢
- No$18 @ 61.0¢
- No$10 @ 95.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 96.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 45.0¢
- No$8 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 50.5¢
- Yes$33 @ 54.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 49.9¢
- Yes$25 @ 82.3¢
- Yes$18 @ 35.0¢
- Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?WonYes$43 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 61.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
- No$20 @ 96.0¢
- No$4 @ 41.9¢
- Yes$8 @ 41.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$1.1k @ 50.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 50.0¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$285 @ 95.1¢
- No$161 @ 94.9¢
- No$144 @ 84.8¢
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$124 @ 95.1¢
- No$110 @ 87.6¢
- Yes$108 @ 49.3¢
- No$92 @ 87.7¢
- Yes$84 @ 38.2¢
- No$82 @ 83.8¢
- No$71 @ 94.8¢
- Yes$69 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$67 @ 2.6¢
- Will Christine Lagarde advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?PoliticsNo$64 @ 92.0¢
- No$46 @ 92.0¢
- No$46 @ 91.1¢
- No$42 @ 84.3¢
- Yes$37 @ 74.7¢
- Yes$30 @ 60.0¢
- No$29 @ 96.4¢
- Yes$27 @ 54.6¢
- Yes$26 @ 87.9¢
- No$22 @ 63.7¢
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?PoliticsNo$22 @ 44.0¢
- No$21 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 4.1¢
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$19 @ 95.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 38.0¢
- No$18 @ 95.5¢