← Market consensus

PoliticsActiveends Dec 31, 2026

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

51.5¢

No

48.5¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 5 tracked sharps

Contested

Yes 57%No 43%

5 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x8e4f…4594	Yes	$114	51.7¢	5.3×	+13%	47%	Sharp
0x9af0…5816	No	$29	50.8¢	0.7×	+8%	82%	Sharp
0xef0d…7e94	No	$29	50.8¢	2.5×	+36%	87%	Sharp
0xafa7…6e67	No	$19	51.5¢	1.6×	+56%	87%	Sharp
0x5c5b…1a6d	No	$9	48.0¢	0.3×	+22%	73%	Sharp

0x8e4f…4594Sharp

Yes$114 @ 51.7¢

Conv: 5.3×
ROI: +13%
Win%: 47%

0x9af0…5816Sharp

No$29 @ 50.8¢

Conv: 0.7×
ROI: +8%
Win%: 82%

0xef0d…7e94Sharp

No$29 @ 50.8¢

Conv: 2.5×
ROI: +36%
Win%: 87%

0xafa7…6e67Sharp

No$19 @ 51.5¢

Conv: 1.6×
ROI: +56%
Win%: 87%

0x5c5b…1a6dSharp

No$9 @ 48.0¢

Conv: 0.3×
ROI: +22%
Win%: 73%