0xdc70…cc56

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics71 bets

  Hit rate

  68% (48/71)

  ROI

  +20%

• Other52 bets

  Hit rate

  58% (30/52)

  ROI

  +0%

• Geopolitics13 bets

  Hit rate

  77% (10/13)

  ROI

  +18%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +375%

• Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Won
  No$114 @ 83.2¢
• Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
  No$91 @ 42.7¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Won
  No$47 @ 84.6¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Won
  No$766 @ 86.3¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$30 @ 77.7¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$28 @ 69.0¢
• Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Lost
  No$37 @ 26.3¢
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Lost
  Yes$14 @ 63.0¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
  No$610 @ 71.5¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Won
  No$118 @ 71.9¢
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Won
  No$1.7k @ 70.9¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
  No$405 @ 39.5¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Won
  No$6 @ 79.8¢
• Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?Lost
  No$6 @ 66.0¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
  No$649 @ 79.8¢
• Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$87 @ 21.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Lost
  No$119 @ 55.0¢
• U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Won
  No$31 @ 85.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$169 @ 88.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Lost
  No$236 @ 53.3¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Won
  No$345 @ 85.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
  No$45 @ 50.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
  Yes$489 @ 23.5¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Won
  No$214 @ 49.8¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 16.4¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$363 @ 72.6¢
• Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026??Won
  No$5 @ 89.0¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Won
  No$146 @ 72.6¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Won
  No$57 @ 44.5¢
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?Won
  No$333 @ 74.1¢
• Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$256 @ 63.7¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Lost
  Yes$194 @ 27.2¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
  Yes$165 @ 12.4¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Lost
  No$723 @ 25.9¢
• Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?Won
  No$153 @ 82.2¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
  No$322 @ 82.9¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?Won
  No$69 @ 87.1¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Won
  No$83 @ 81.9¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Won
  Yes$21 @ 69.4¢
• US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Lost
  No$501 @ 43.7¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Lost
  Yes$58 @ 25.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$148 @ 89.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$376 @ 50.8¢
• US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Lost
  No$138 @ 58.3¢
• Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Lost
  No$2 @ 12.0¢
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Lost
  Yes$261 @ 66.9¢
• Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Won
  No$4 @ 60.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Won
  No$391 @ 87.3¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Won
  No$44 @ 40.3¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Lost
  Yes$21 @ 50.4¢

Current positions

• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$3.1k @ 61.2¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$2.5k @ 77.1¢
• Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics
  Yes$1.3k @ 88.5¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.3k @ 80.7¢
• Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Politics
  No$964 @ 87.8¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$952 @ 71.4¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Politics
  No$856 @ 95.0¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$847 @ 86.9¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$744 @ 78.0¢
• Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$614 @ 50.3¢
• Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$566 @ 74.9¢
• Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$475 @ 69.4¢
• Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics
  No$403 @ 55.9¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$370 @ 57.8¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$332 @ 64.9¢
• Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$306 @ 94.4¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$266 @ 77.1¢
• Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$261 @ 84.8¢
• Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$251 @ 82.8¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$245 @ 66.9¢
• Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$206 @ 89.2¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$190 @ 70.5¢
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Politics
  No$105 @ 50.0¢
• Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$99 @ 71.7¢
• NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Politics
  No$97 @ 98.0¢
• Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Politics
  No$94 @ 94.2¢
• EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?Politics
  No$84 @ 50.8¢
• Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$77 @ 41.5¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$65 @ 37.7¢
• Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Geopolitics
  No$50 @ 53.7¢