← Market consensus

PoliticsActiveends Nov 3, 2026

Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

0.1¢

No

100.0¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 7 tracked sharps

Strong

Yes 98%No 2%

7 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x000d…758e	Yes	$3.0k	35.3¢	1.2×	+8%	46%	Profitable
0x4e25…d7a7	No	$58	96.0¢	0.4×	+19%	54%	Sharp
0x5087…09be	Yes	$17	29.6¢	0.3×	+10%	72%	Profitable
0x477d…4f06	Yes	$2	10.8¢	1.9×	+32%	54%	Sharp
0xf375…1c0e	Yes	$2	10.8¢	1.9×	+25%	56%	Sharp
0x0751…c5ec	Yes	$1	5.9¢	1.0×	+6%	89%	Sharp
0xe2f8…0ef8	Yes	$1	5.9¢	0.9×	+19%	60%	Sharp

0x000d…758eProfitable

Yes$3.0k @ 35.3¢

Conv: 1.2×
ROI: +8%
Win%: 46%

0x4e25…d7a7Sharp

No$58 @ 96.0¢

Conv: 0.4×
ROI: +19%
Win%: 54%

0x5087…09beProfitable

Yes$17 @ 29.6¢

Conv: 0.3×
ROI: +10%
Win%: 72%

0x477d…4f06Sharp

Yes$2 @ 10.8¢

Conv: 1.9×
ROI: +32%
Win%: 54%

0xf375…1c0eSharp

Yes$2 @ 10.8¢

Conv: 1.9×
ROI: +25%
Win%: 56%

0x0751…c5ecSharp

Yes$1 @ 5.9¢

Conv: 1.0×
ROI: +6%
Win%: 89%

0xe2f8…0ef8Sharp

Yes$1 @ 5.9¢

Conv: 0.9×
ROI: +19%
Win%: 60%