← Smart money
0xc77b…a526
SharpEdge
-9.7pp
ROI
+7%
Win rate
32% @ 41.8¢
Brier
0.168
Resolved
2127
Avg size
$17
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 49% (89/182) | -2% | 182 |
| Other | 34% (44/128) | +27% | 128 |
| Geopolitics | 32% (10/31) | -11% | 31 |
| Tech | 47% (8/17) | +8% | 17 |
| Economy | 75% (3/4) | -11% | 4 |
| Culture | 33% (1/3) | -9% | 3 |
| Sports | 50% (1/2) | -7% | 2 |
| Science | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics182 bets
- Hit rate
- 49% (89/182)
- ROI
- -2%
- Other128 bets
- Hit rate
- 34% (44/128)
- ROI
- +27%
- Geopolitics31 bets
- Hit rate
- 32% (10/31)
- ROI
- -11%
- Tech17 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (8/17)
- ROI
- +8%
- Economy4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- -11%
- Culture3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -9%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -7%
- Science1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
42% hit · 156/368- No$52 @ 50.0¢
- No$161 @ 42.7¢
- Yes$796 @ 38.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
- No$2 @ 24.7¢
- No$1 @ 1.0¢
- No$35 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 14.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 4.9¢
- No$465 @ 61.5¢
- No$171 @ 67.6¢
- Yes$12 @ 36.9¢
- No$1.3k @ 74.4¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 31.4¢
- Yes$4 @ 2.4¢
- No$126 @ 78.7¢
- Yes$18 @ 36.0¢
- No$2 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$43 @ 25.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 50.0¢
- No$3 @ 1.4¢
- No$70 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$316 @ 35.5¢
- No$7 @ 0.6¢
- No$4 @ 89.0¢
- No$353 @ 29.6¢
- Yes$32 @ 70.1¢
- Yes$30 @ 5.0¢
- No$8 @ 14.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 46.0¢
- No$733 @ 79.9¢
- Yes$816 @ 14.5¢
- Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on April 19, 2026?WonYes$4 @ 15.0¢
- No$205 @ 83.5¢
- Yes$97 @ 13.7¢
- No$140 @ 32.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 34.0¢
- No$182 @ 77.6¢
- Yes$7 @ 86.0¢
- No$115 @ 71.3¢
- No$31 @ 85.0¢
- No$5 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 63.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 2.9¢
- No$290 @ 78.4¢
- Yes$431 @ 20.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$54 @ 10.7¢
- No$41 @ 86.3¢
- No$38 @ 89.7¢
- No$37 @ 64.0¢
- No$34 @ 97.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 17.6¢
- Yes$29 @ 19.0¢
- No$28 @ 77.9¢
- Yes$26 @ 31.6¢
- Yes$26 @ 26.9¢
- No$24 @ 96.5¢
- No$24 @ 87.6¢
- No$23 @ 93.2¢
- Yes$23 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$23 @ 24.0¢
- No$22 @ 60.6¢
- Yes$21 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$21 @ 68.4¢
- No$21 @ 92.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 57.3¢
- Yes$20 @ 79.4¢
- Yes$17 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 9.6¢
- Yes$15 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$15 @ 6.0¢
- No$15 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 1.2¢
- No$14 @ 80.4¢