PoliticsActiveends Nov 22, 2026

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?

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Yes

55.5¢

No

44.5¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 6 tracked sharps

Lean

No 66%Yes 34%

Include 11 outside the consensus pool6 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x524d…4495	No	$2.7k	44.0¢	17×	+30%	29%	Sharp
0x9419…a40f	Yes	$826	61.4¢	5.8×	+18%	61%	Sharp
0x09cc…421a	Yes	$406	50.0¢	2.3×	+69%	76%	Sharp
0x2c39…56dc	Yes	$233	55.0¢	0.7×	+32%	48%	Sharp
0xca12…ea03	No	$185	37.0¢	9.1×	+25%	35%	Sharp
0x727e…8b9d	No	$10	50.0¢	2.1×	+39%	49%	Sharp

0x524d…4495Sharp

No$2.7k @ 44.0¢

Conv: 17×
ROI: +30%
Win%: 29%

0x9419…a40fSharp

Yes$826 @ 61.4¢

Conv: 5.8×
ROI: +18%
Win%: 61%

0x09cc…421aSharp

Yes$406 @ 50.0¢

Conv: 2.3×
ROI: +69%
Win%: 76%

0x2c39…56dcSharp

Yes$233 @ 55.0¢

Conv: 0.7×
ROI: +32%
Win%: 48%

0xca12…ea03Sharp

No$185 @ 37.0¢

Conv: 9.1×
ROI: +25%
Win%: 35%

0x727e…8b9dSharp

No$10 @ 50.0¢

Conv: 2.1×
ROI: +39%
Win%: 49%