0xca12…ea03

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other326 bets

  Hit rate

  45% (148/326)

  ROI

  +27%

• Culture26 bets

  Hit rate

  58% (15/26)

  ROI

  +17%

• Tech14 bets

  Hit rate

  79% (11/14)

  ROI

  +62%

• Geopolitics4 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (3/4)

  ROI

  +12%

• Politics1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +43%

• Business1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Lost
  No$55 @ 55.0¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Won
  Yes$90 @ 75.0¢
• Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?Lost
  No$10 @ 1.0¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 82 and 83 million views on week 1?Lost
  Yes$51 @ 15.8¢
• Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?Won
  Yes$30 @ 74.4¢
• Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Lost
  Yes$153 @ 68.3¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Won
  No$190 @ 88.9¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Lost
  Yes$85 @ 32.5¢
• Will "Backrooms" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Lost
  No$27 @ 54.0¢
• Will MrBeast's latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2?Lost
  Yes$85 @ 5.3¢
• Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?Lost
  No$105 @ 81.6¢
• Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?Won
  Yes$97 @ 20.5¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?Lost
  Yes$26 @ 3.9¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?Won
  No$80 @ 80.0¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 57 million views in week 1?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Won
  Yes$15 @ 30.0¢
• Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?Won
  No$141 @ 55.4¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Won
  Yes$77 @ 76.0¢
• Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Won
  Yes$14 @ 78.4¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Lost
  Yes$18 @ 12.8¢
• Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Won
  Yes$26 @ 87.0¢
• Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 26.0¢
• Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Won
  No$15 @ 89.0¢
• Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?Lost
  Yes$179 @ 17.6¢
• Will "Hoppers" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Won
  No$151 @ 84.0¢
• Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31?Won
  No$45 @ 73.9¢
• Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?Won
  No$137 @ 82.3¢
• Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?Won
  No$11 @ 53.0¢
• between 39 and 41 million viewsLost
  Yes$17 @ 1.0¢
• Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?Lost
  Yes$45 @ 23.1¢
• Will MrBeast hit 116 billion views by March 31?Lost
  No$37 @ 29.7¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
• Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 32 and 34 million views on week 1?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
• Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?Won
  No$45 @ 41.1¢
• Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
• Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 54m?Won
  Yes$21 @ 41.1¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 2.5¢
• Will "Michael" be the second highest grossing movie of this weekend?Won
  No$65 @ 84.8¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Lost
  Yes$14 @ 14.0¢
• Will "The Faces of Death" score at least 68 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Won
  No$64 @ 86.5¢
• Will Silver (SI) settle over $40 on the final trading day of February 2026?Won
  Yes$49 @ 82.0¢
• Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Won
  No$35 @ 68.0¢
• Will MrBeast hit 122 billion views by May 31?Won
  Yes$41 @ 79.0¢
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 26?Lost
  No$1 @ 0.2¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 28 and 32 million views on day 2?Won
  Yes$30 @ 68.0¢
• Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Won
  No$89 @ 89.0¢
• Will "Risk It All - Bruno Mars" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Won
  No$30 @ 89.0¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Won
  No$220 @ 80.1¢

Current positions

• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$7.0k @ 50.0¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  No$7.0k @ 50.0¢
• Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Culture
  No$656 @ 71.8¢
• Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Geopolitics
  Yes$394 @ 63.5¢
• Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?Culture
  Yes$250 @ 68.9¢
• Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Culture
  Yes$227 @ 40.0¢
• Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech
  No$217 @ 74.2¢
• Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Culture
  No$213 @ 64.2¢
• Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Culture
  Yes$198 @ 79.8¢
• Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on September 30, 2026?Tech
  Yes$160 @ 82.3¢
• Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Culture
  Yes$122 @ 79.0¢
• Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?Other
  No$118 @ 85.5¢
• Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Tech
  Yes$116 @ 46.5¢
• Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Tech
  Yes$113 @ 35.1¢
• Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?Tech
  Yes$105 @ 82.0¢
• Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech
  Yes$102 @ 33.9¢
• Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Geopolitics
  Yes$101 @ 55.9¢
• Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Tech
  No$99 @ 72.0¢
• Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.43% in September?Economy
  No$93 @ 98.0¢
• Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Tech
  Yes$90 @ 27.7¢
• Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Tech
  Yes$90 @ 45.0¢
• Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Geopolitics
  Yes$88 @ 37.7¢
• Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech
  Yes$83 @ 30.9¢
• Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Tech
  Yes$73 @ 27.4¢
• Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech
  Yes$72 @ 36.0¢
• Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.49% in September?Economy
  No$70 @ 97.9¢
• Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
  Yes$69 @ 49.3¢
• Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Tech
  Yes$68 @ 53.3¢
• Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech
  Yes$58 @ 29.0¢
• Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
  Yes$56 @ 54.7¢