← Market consensus
PoliticsActiveends Oct 4, 2026

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

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Yes

51.5¢

No

48.5¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢ smart-money trades
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Smart money here · 4 tracked sharps

Unanimous
Yes 100%
4 shown ·
Yes$72.6k @ 43.7¢
Conv
229×
ROI
+32%
Win%
56%
Yes$7 @ 45.0¢
Conv
0.1×
ROI
+12%
Win%
41%
0xc518…2594Profitable
Yes$3 @ 3.1¢
Conv
0.3×
ROI
+140%
Win%
71%
Yes$2 @ 3.9¢
Conv
0.1×
ROI
+12%
Win%
41%