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PoliticsActiveends Oct 26, 2026

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

99.6¢

No

0.4¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades
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Smart money here · 5 tracked sharps

5 shown ·
0x9f83…6cd9Profitable
Yes$1.6k @ 97.2¢
Conv
15×
ROI
+3%
Win%
56%
0x9163…82aeProfitable
Yes$127 @ 38.2¢
Conv
9.0×
ROI
+5%
Win%
18%
0x9242…a140Profitable
No$77 @ 97.7¢
Conv
6.8×
ROI
+22%
Win%
50%
Yes$22 @ 61.7¢
Conv
4.6×
ROI
+39%
Win%
49%
Yes$15 @ 1.2¢
Conv
0.1×
ROI
+9%
Win%
46%