PoliticsResolvedends Oct 5, 2026

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

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Yes

0.0¢

No

100.0¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 5 tracked sharps

Include 6 outside the consensus pool5 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x88c4…129a	Yes	$9.7k	52.4¢	12×	+33%	74%	Sharp
0x3dca…3c13	Yes	$280	56.0¢	1.2×	+14%	50%	Sharp
0x5073…16a7	Yes	$119	13.4¢	4.1×	+24%	38%	Sharp
0x3825…04e8	Yes	$71	70.5¢	6.0×	+8%	59%	Sharp
0x3752…9d56	Yes	$35	50.0¢	0.8×	+4%	44%	Profitable

0x88c4…129aSharp

Yes$9.7k @ 52.4¢

Conv: 12×
ROI: +33%
Win%: 74%

0x3dca…3c13Sharp

Yes$280 @ 56.0¢

Conv: 1.2×
ROI: +14%
Win%: 50%

0x5073…16a7Sharp

Yes$119 @ 13.4¢

Conv: 4.1×
ROI: +24%
Win%: 38%

0x3825…04e8Sharp

Yes$71 @ 70.5¢

Conv: 6.0×
ROI: +8%
Win%: 59%

0x3752…9d56Profitable

Yes$35 @ 50.0¢

Conv: 0.8×
ROI: +4%
Win%: 44%