0x3752…9d56

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics87 bets

  Hit rate

  32% (28/87)

  ROI

  +20%

• Sports62 bets

  Hit rate

  45% (28/62)

  ROI

  +2%

• Other38 bets

  Hit rate

  47% (18/38)

  ROI

  -0%

• Tech15 bets

  Hit rate

  27% (4/15)

  ROI

  +6%

• Economy5 bets

  Hit rate

  40% (2/5)

  ROI

  +7%

• Science4 bets

  Hit rate

  25% (1/4)

  ROI

  -37%

• Culture2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +14%

• Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Lost
  No$62 @ 47.4¢
• Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16?Won
  Yes$91 @ 36.0¢
• Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Won
  Yes$41 @ 40.0¢
• Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
  No$90 @ 36.0¢
• Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?Won
  Yes$101 @ 53.0¢
• Will André do Prado win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 13.2¢
• Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Won
  Yes$353 @ 70.0¢
• Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Lost
  Yes$300 @ 70.0¢
• Will France win on 2026-06-26?Won
  Yes$211 @ 70.0¢
• Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 9.8¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$702 @ 14.0¢
• Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?Won
  Yes$101 @ 81.0¢
• Will Germany vs. Greece end in a draw?Lost
  Yes$35 @ 34.0¢
• Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$467 @ 88.7¢
• Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 3.1¢
• Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Lost
  Yes$33 @ 41.0¢
• Will Styvenson Valentim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?Lost
  Yes$15 @ 9.3¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Won
  Yes$48 @ 81.0¢
• Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Lost
  Yes$883 @ 88.0¢
• Will Marcelo Aro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 6.2¢
• Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $800B and $900B at the end of September 2026?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 8.0¢
• Will Leila do Vôlei win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Lost
  Yes$18 @ 8.8¢
• Will Samanda de Lula win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?Won
  Yes$33 @ 20.3¢
• Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?Won
  Yes$135 @ 55.9¢
• Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$714 @ 71.0¢
• Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Lost
  Qatar$102 @ 49.0¢
• Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
  Yes$404 @ 67.0¢
• Will Coronel Hélio win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 2.0¢
• Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 11.0¢
• Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 57.0¢
• Will France win on 2026-09-25?Won
  Yes$360 @ 72.0¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Won
  Yes$8 @ 1.6¢
• Will Erika Kokay win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 1.6¢
• Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Won
  Yes$420 @ 42.0¢
• Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$367 @ 36.7¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 17.4¢
• Spread: England (-2.5)Won
  Croatia$178 @ 78.0¢
• Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Lost
  No$29 @ 85.0¢
• South Africa vs. Canada: Team to AdvanceWon
  Canada$200 @ 66.0¢
• Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Lost
  Yes$140 @ 14.0¢
• Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 5.6¢
• Will Fabiano Contarato win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 17.6¢
• Will Adidas be the brand of boot worn by the Golden Ball winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$36 @ 89.2¢
• Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?Lost
  Yes$73 @ 29.0¢
• Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWon
  Spain$207 @ 62.0¢
• Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 6.9¢
• Will Guilherme Derrite win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Lost
  Yes$23 @ 17.7¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 1.2¢
• FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 5.5Lost
  Under$70 @ 68.8¢
• Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.4¢

Current positions

• Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?Politics
  Yes$1.1k @ 98.8¢
• Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Politics
  Yes$857 @ 91.5¢
• Will Diego González (Santos Laguna) record the most assists in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Sports
  No$732 @ 96.3¢
• Will Liverpool reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?Sports
  Yes$472 @ 85.0¢
• Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?Politics
  Yes$416 @ 99.0¢
• Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?Tech
  No$407 @ 90.4¢
• Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Sports
  Yes$402 @ 80.5¢
• Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?Politics
  Yes$381 @ 97.7¢
• Will Manchester United qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Sports
  No$345 @ 64.6¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by October 31?Tech
  No$339 @ 83.2¢
• Will Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?Politics
  Yes$307 @ 99.1¢
• Will Athletic Club qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?Sports
  No$273 @ 74.0¢
• Will TSG Hoffenheim qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?Sports
  No$262 @ 77.1¢
• Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Geopolitics
  Yes$222 @ 64.0¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$200 @ 50.0¢
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$200 @ 50.0¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$200 @ 50.0¢
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$200 @ 50.0¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$200 @ 50.0¢
• Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $600B and $700B at the end of October 2026?Tech
  No$178 @ 99.0¢
• Will Luca Orellano (CF Monterrey) record the most assists in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Sports
  No$160 @ 94.0¢
• Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of October 2026?Tech
  No$152 @ 85.5¢
• Will Tottenham Hotspur qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Sports
  No$148 @ 86.1¢
• Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Sports
  Yes$127 @ 41.9¢
• Will the season series between the Cardinals and 49ers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
  Yes$125 @ 50.0¢
• Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
  Yes$125 @ 50.0¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Tech
  Yes$109 @ 79.0¢
• Will Coventry City qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Sports
  No$106 @ 98.0¢
• Will Athletic Club qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Sports
  No$102 @ 72.6¢
• Will Bayern Munich reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?Sports
  Yes$101 @ 87.8¢