PoliticsActiveends Nov 8, 2026

Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

3.5¢

No

96.5¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 5 tracked sharps

Include 3 outside the consensus pool5 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x3dca…3c13	Yes	$382	32.8¢	1.6×	+14%	50%	Sharp
0x6560…e164	Yes	$314	20.3¢	5.5×	+13%	37%	Sharp
0x78ed…ab3a	Yes	$72	10.3¢	4.3×	+10%	22%	Sharp
0x43cb…84df	No	$27	56.0¢	1.7×	+6%	36%	Sharp
0x2b62…438c	Yes	$25	34.2¢	1.3×	+30%	54%	Sharp

0x3dca…3c13Sharp

Yes$382 @ 32.8¢

Conv: 1.6×
ROI: +14%
Win%: 50%

0x6560…e164Sharp

Yes$314 @ 20.3¢

Conv: 5.5×
ROI: +13%
Win%: 37%

0x78ed…ab3aSharp

Yes$72 @ 10.3¢

Conv: 4.3×
ROI: +10%
Win%: 22%

0x43cb…84dfSharp

No$27 @ 56.0¢

Conv: 1.7×
ROI: +6%
Win%: 36%

0x2b62…438cSharp

Yes$25 @ 34.2¢

Conv: 1.3×
ROI: +30%
Win%: 54%