0x43cb…84df

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x43cb4ae1f4ddc9e671486c79c9f40a6fd98b84df
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.7pp

ROI

+22%

Win rate

20% @ 13.1¢

Brier

0.079

Resolved

762

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	4% (73/1732)	-26%	1732
Science	4% (16/404)	-45%	404
Sports	18% (20/113)	-4%	113
Politics	4% (2/57)	-80%	57
Crypto	4% (1/25)	-37%	25
Tech	22% (2/9)	+105%	9
Culture	0% (0/6)	-100%	6
Economy	25% (1/4)	+141%	4
Geopolitics	33% (1/3)	+15%	3

Other1732 bets
Hit rate
4% (73/1732)
ROI
-26%
Science404 bets
Hit rate
4% (16/404)
ROI
-45%
Sports113 bets
Hit rate
18% (20/113)
ROI
-4%
Politics57 bets
Hit rate
4% (2/57)
ROI
-80%
Crypto25 bets
Hit rate
4% (1/25)
ROI
-37%
Tech9 bets
Hit rate
22% (2/9)
ROI
+105%
Culture6 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/6)
ROI
-100%
Economy4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
+141%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+15%

Track record

5% hit · 116/2353

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 34°C on July 2?	Yes	$30	87.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 2?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 2?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 2?	Yes	$8	25.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	$5	55.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 2?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will Algeria be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	$2	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 2?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will Cape Verde be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	Yes	$1	2.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	$45	41.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 40°C on July 2?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on July 3?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 2?	Yes	$26	21.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 104°F or higher on July 2?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 2?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on July 3?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	$0	1.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 2?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 2?	Yes	$5	4.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on July 2?	Yes	$1	2.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 108°F or higher on July 2?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 2?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 2?	Yes	$77	31.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 39°C on July 2?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 2?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 2?	Yes	$0	1.5¢	Lost
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on July 2?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 2?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 2?	Yes	$36	11.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 2?	Yes	$7	3.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on July 2?	Yes	$3	2.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 2?	Yes	$1	1.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 2?	Yes	$1	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 2?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 2?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on July 2?	Yes	$1	0.8¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on July 1?	Yes	$0	3.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 2?	Yes	$19	71.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 106-107°F on July 2?	Yes	$2	1.8¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Lost
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 2?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Lost
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$4	1.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 102-103°F on July 2?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 2?	Yes	$9	4.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 2?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 34°C on July 2?Won
Yes$30 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$8 @ 25.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 2?Won
Yes$5 @ 55.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Algeria be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will Cape Verde be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 2?Won
Yes$45 @ 41.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 40°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on July 3?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$26 @ 21.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 104°F or higher on July 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on July 3?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 33°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 2?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 108°F or higher on July 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 2?Lost
Yes$77 @ 31.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 39°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.5¢
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on July 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$36 @ 11.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 2?Lost
Yes$7 @ 3.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on July 2?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on July 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 2?Won
Yes$19 @ 71.2¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 106-107°F on July 2?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 102-103°F on July 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$9 @ 4.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Sports	No	$11.1k	90.6¢
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$2.8k	42.5¢
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?	Sports	Yes	$2.1k	28.6¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$1.6k	78.7¢
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Sports	No	$1.6k	86.0¢
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	—	No	$1.6k	88.6¢
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$1.5k	54.6¢
Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$1.5k	81.0¢
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Sports	No	$1.2k	92.9¢
Will England be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Sports	No	$1.2k	70.5¢
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$1.1k	10.9¢
Will Paraguay reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$1.1k	95.1¢
Will Mexico win the World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$1.1k	12.4¢
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Sports	No	$949	96.7¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	—	Yes	$922	88.3¢
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?	Sports	Yes	$878	14.5¢
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Sports	No	$839	93.0¢
Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$839	82.5¢
Will Ghana reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$834	81.6¢
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$831	79.0¢
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	—	Yes	$822	12.5¢
Will T1 win MSI 2026?	Sports	Yes	$790	13.1¢
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Sports	No	$778	88.6¢
Will Ghana be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	—	No	$775	89.6¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$753	89.5¢
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$695	82.7¢
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$680	76.9¢
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$662	34.5¢
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$662	39.1¢
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$657	44.9¢

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Sports
No$11.1k @ 90.6¢
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$2.8k @ 42.5¢
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?Sports
Yes$2.1k @ 28.6¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$1.6k @ 78.7¢
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Sports
No$1.6k @ 86.0¢
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?—
No$1.6k @ 88.6¢
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$1.5k @ 54.6¢
Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$1.5k @ 81.0¢
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Sports
No$1.2k @ 92.9¢
Will England be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Sports
No$1.2k @ 70.5¢
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Sports
Yes$1.1k @ 10.9¢
Will Paraguay reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$1.1k @ 95.1¢
Will Mexico win the World Cup?Sports
Yes$1.1k @ 12.4¢
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Sports
No$949 @ 96.7¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?—
Yes$922 @ 88.3¢
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?Sports
Yes$878 @ 14.5¢
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Sports
No$839 @ 93.0¢
Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$839 @ 82.5¢
Will Ghana reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$834 @ 81.6¢
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$831 @ 79.0¢
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?—
Yes$822 @ 12.5¢
Will T1 win MSI 2026?Sports
Yes$790 @ 13.1¢
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Sports
No$778 @ 88.6¢
Will Ghana be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?—
No$775 @ 89.6¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$753 @ 89.5¢
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$695 @ 82.7¢
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$680 @ 76.9¢
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$662 @ 34.5¢
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$662 @ 39.1¢
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?Sports
Yes$657 @ 44.9¢