0x78ed…ab3a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x78ed8966161ea0a22f0719b9c04391c6ac22ab3a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-2.2pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

22% @ 24.1¢

Brier

0.112

Resolved

2747

Avg size

$17

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	23% (54/236)	-5%	236
Science	20% (18/88)	-17%	88
Politics	11% (9/85)	-7%	85
Sports	15% (8/53)	+237%	53
Geopolitics	4% (1/24)	+22%	24
Tech	56% (5/9)	+127%	9
Culture	20% (1/5)	-97%	5
Crypto	25% (1/4)	+143%	4

Other236 bets
Hit rate
23% (54/236)
ROI
-5%
Science88 bets
Hit rate
20% (18/88)
ROI
-17%
Politics85 bets
Hit rate
11% (9/85)
ROI
-7%
Sports53 bets
Hit rate
15% (8/53)
ROI
+237%
Geopolitics24 bets
Hit rate
4% (1/24)
ROI
+22%
Tech9 bets
Hit rate
56% (5/9)
ROI
+127%
Culture5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-97%
Crypto4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
+143%

Track record

19% hit · 97/504

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	$60	14.1¢	Won
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 19?	No	$6	1.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 16?	Yes	$170	24.8¢	Lost
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	Yes	$4	4.3¢	Lost
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?	Yes	$12	6.0¢	Lost
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	$31	6.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 3?	Yes	$104	12.7¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?	Yes	$128	63.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C or higher on August 2?	Yes	$5	4.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 14?	Yes	$52	9.3¢	Lost
Will Petro mention Hitler again by June 30?	No	$11	11.0¢	Lost
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	No	$1.5k	60.1¢	Won
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	$10	10.0¢	Lost
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?	No	$16	3.9¢	Lost
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions	Doosan Bears	$16	13.0¢	Lost
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	$10	1.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 19?	Yes	$101	18.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?	Yes	$38	9.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	$588	48.3¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?	Yes	$27	11.6¢	Lost
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	$21	5.6¢	Lost
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Science Summit remarks?	No	$10	7.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 12?	Yes	$142	10.1¢	Lost
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	0.2¢	Lost
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	$31	17.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 10?	Yes	$40	7.7¢	Lost
Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	$21	12.3¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	$41	7.6¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$102	18.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 12?	No	$302	84.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 20?	Yes	$20	17.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?	Yes	$21	6.8¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 2?	Yes	$45	30.6¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$102	50.2¢	Lost
Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic	Yuta Shimizu	$21	34.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	$520	55.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 20?	Yes	$24	2.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 5?	Yes	$95	33.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?	Yes	$48	17.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	$51	20.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	$2	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?	Yes	$212	55.6¢	Won
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?	Yes	$30	21.5¢	Won
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	$20	22.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 16?	Yes	$4	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?	Yes	$51	43.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 30?	Yes	$415	22.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 11?	Yes	$78	35.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 10?	Yes	$42	12.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	$246	52.8¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 16?Won
Yes$60 @ 14.1¢
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 19?Lost
No$6 @ 1.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 16?Lost
Yes$170 @ 24.8¢
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.3¢
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?Lost
Yes$12 @ 6.0¢
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Lost
No$31 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 3?Lost
Yes$104 @ 12.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?Won
Yes$128 @ 63.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C or higher on August 2?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 14?Lost
Yes$52 @ 9.3¢
Will Petro mention Hitler again by June 30?Lost
No$11 @ 11.0¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Won
No$1.5k @ 60.1¢
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-10?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Lost
No$16 @ 3.9¢
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung LionsLost
Doosan Bears$16 @ 13.0¢
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung LionsWon
Samsung Lions$10 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 19?Won
Yes$101 @ 18.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?Lost
Yes$38 @ 9.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 13?Lost
Yes$588 @ 48.3¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Lost
Yes$27 @ 11.6¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Lost
No$21 @ 5.6¢
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Science Summit remarks?Lost
No$10 @ 7.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 12?Lost
Yes$142 @ 10.1¢
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Lost
Yes$31 @ 17.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 10?Lost
Yes$40 @ 7.7¢
Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-06-04?Lost
Yes$21 @ 12.3¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Lost
No$41 @ 7.6¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$102 @ 18.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 12?Won
No$302 @ 84.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 20?Lost
Yes$20 @ 17.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$21 @ 6.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 2?Lost
Yes$45 @ 30.6¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$102 @ 50.2¢
Jingshan: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard TomicLost
Yuta Shimizu$21 @ 34.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?Lost
Yes$520 @ 55.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 20?Lost
Yes$24 @ 2.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 5?Lost
Yes$95 @ 33.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?Lost
Yes$48 @ 17.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 14?Lost
Yes$51 @ 20.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 8?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?Won
Yes$212 @ 55.6¢
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Won
Yes$30 @ 21.5¢
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?Lost
Yes$20 @ 22.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 16?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?Lost
Yes$51 @ 43.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 30?Won
Yes$415 @ 22.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 11?Lost
Yes$78 @ 35.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 10?Lost
Yes$42 @ 12.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?Lost
Yes$246 @ 52.8¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$300	28.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?	Science	Yes	$268	38.3¢
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$67	10.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 18?	Science	Yes	$60	7.6¢
Will the IEA ask Germany to release oil stocks by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$30	25.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 17?	Science	Yes	$28	46.0¢
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Tech	No	$19	1.2¢

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$300 @ 28.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?Science
Yes$268 @ 38.3¢
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Politics
Yes$67 @ 10.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 18?Science
Yes$60 @ 7.6¢
Will the IEA ask Germany to release oil stocks by October 31?Politics
Yes$30 @ 25.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 17?Science
Yes$28 @ 46.0¢
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Tech
No$19 @ 1.2¢