0x6560…e164

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6560abb717a8e5f3afaacd1a31e9c03eed71e164
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.8pp

ROI

+13%

Win rate

37% @ 31.1¢

Brier

0.172

Resolved

3255

Avg size

$58

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	46% (155/336)	+17%	336
Politics	44% (32/73)	+1%	73
Sports	40% (19/47)	+16%	47
Tech	46% (17/37)	+7%	37
Science	71% (22/31)	+1%	31
Economy	29% (4/14)	+16%	14
Culture	70% (7/10)	-2%	10
Crypto	17% (1/6)	+25%	6
Geopolitics	33% (1/3)	+35%	3

Other336 bets
Hit rate
46% (155/336)
ROI
+17%
Politics73 bets
Hit rate
44% (32/73)
ROI
+1%
Sports47 bets
Hit rate
40% (19/47)
ROI
+16%
Tech37 bets
Hit rate
46% (17/37)
ROI
+7%
Science31 bets
Hit rate
71% (22/31)
ROI
+1%
Economy14 bets
Hit rate
29% (4/14)
ROI
+16%
Culture10 bets
Hit rate
70% (7/10)
ROI
-2%
Crypto6 bets
Hit rate
17% (1/6)
ROI
+25%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+35%

Track record

46% hit · 258/557

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	$10	2.0¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 0%-3%?	No	$170	76.3¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	$2	90.2¢	Won
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	$3	2.6¢	Lost
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	Yes	$7	7.4¢	Lost
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 40%-45%?	Yes	$21	10.0¢	Lost
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?	Yes	$14	12.9¢	Lost
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	$1.1k	74.0¢	Won
Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Charizard?	No	$250	97.1¢	Won
Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Charizard?	Yes	$52	36.7¢	Lost
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	No	$1.3k	93.9¢	Won
Will Sayonara have the most kills at VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	$2	3.0¢	Lost
Will Derke have the most kills at VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	$1	7.5¢	Lost
Will Jamppi have the most kills at VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	$3	1.2¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	$345	69.1¢	Lost
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	$2	0.3¢	Lost
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$144	35.0¢	Lost
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	$70	6.0¢	Lost
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	No	$4	0.1¢	Lost
Anthropic announces a training pause by October 31?	No	$16	16.3¢	Lost
1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes	$4	35.0¢	Lost
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	$290	56.9¢	Lost
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	$10	0.4¢	Lost
Will Together win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	$100	9.9¢	Lost
Over $3.5B crypto hack value in 2026?	No	$1	5.1¢	Lost
Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	$0	0.6¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	Yes	$66	80.0¢	Won
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	$314	13.8¢	Lost
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	$978	48.9¢	Lost
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	$468	54.9¢	Won
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	$952	95.2¢	Won
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	$1.6k	95.8¢	Won
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	$0	1.3¢	Lost
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	$2.2k	72.0¢	Won
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	$4.6k	92.0¢	Won
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	$57	67.9¢	Won
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	$140	31.8¢	Lost
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	$598	92.5¢	Won
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	$81	70.0¢	Won
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	$2.5k	91.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	70.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$910	91.0¢	Won
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	$700	70.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	$860	86.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$315	63.0¢	Won
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	$0	9.5¢	Lost
1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	$23	17.9¢	Lost

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 20%-25%?Lost
Yes$10 @ 2.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 0%-3%?Lost
No$170 @ 76.3¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 0%-3%?Won
Yes$2 @ 90.2¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 25%-30%?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.6¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Lost
Yes$7 @ 7.4¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 40%-45%?Lost
Yes$21 @ 10.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Lost
Yes$14 @ 12.9¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Won
No$1.1k @ 74.0¢
Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Charizard?Won
No$250 @ 97.1¢
Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Charizard?Lost
Yes$52 @ 36.7¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?Won
No$1.3k @ 93.9¢
Will Sayonara have the most kills at VALORANT Champions 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.0¢
Will Derke have the most kills at VALORANT Champions 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.5¢
Will Jamppi have the most kills at VALORANT Champions 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Lost
No$345 @ 69.1¢
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Lost
No$2 @ 0.3¢
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Lost
Yes$144 @ 35.0¢
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Lost
Yes$70 @ 6.0¢
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Lost
No$4 @ 0.1¢
Anthropic announces a training pause by October 31?Lost
No$16 @ 16.3¢
1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$4 @ 35.0¢
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Lost
No$290 @ 56.9¢
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.4¢
Will Together win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Lost
Yes$100 @ 9.9¢
Over $3.5B crypto hack value in 2026?Lost
No$1 @ 5.1¢
Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Lost
No$0 @ 0.6¢
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Won
Yes$66 @ 80.0¢
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Lost
Yes$314 @ 13.8¢
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Lost
No$978 @ 48.9¢
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Won
Yes$468 @ 54.9¢
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Won
No$952 @ 95.2¢
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Won
No$1.6k @ 95.8¢
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.3¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseWon
Yes$2.2k @ 72.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
Yes$4.6k @ 92.0¢
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Won
No$57 @ 67.9¢
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Lost
Yes$140 @ 31.8¢
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Won
No$598 @ 92.5¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
Yes$81 @ 70.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
No$2.5k @ 91.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 70.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$910 @ 91.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Won
No$700 @ 70.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Won
Yes$860 @ 86.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$315 @ 63.0¢
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Lost
Yes$0 @ 9.5¢
1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$23 @ 17.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?	Politics	No	$8.6k	90.6¢
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Politics	Yes	$5.7k	96.9¢
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Politics	No	$2.1k	96.3¢
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?	Politics	Yes	$1.7k	68.9¢
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Politics	No	$1.6k	46.5¢
Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.90 ft MLLW or more?	Science	Yes	$1.1k	78.3¢
Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Politics	Yes	$1.1k	41.0¢
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Politics	Yes	$1000	35.8¢
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?	Politics	Yes	$787	17.8¢
Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?	Science	Yes	$779	70.0¢
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?	Politics	Yes	$548	94.3¢
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?	Culture	Yes	$497	82.9¢
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$484	47.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 0%-3%?	Politics	Yes	$416	87.1¢
Will Haven be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	Sports	Yes	$383	34.3¢
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?	Politics	Yes	$382	17.9¢
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Politics	Yes	$376	10.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Politics	No	$345	69.1¢
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Politics	Yes	$342	35.9¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 18% or more?	Politics	No	$337	91.3¢
Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	Politics	Yes	$326	64.8¢
Will N3on lose the most weight in Nozempic 2?	Culture	No	$326	95.2¢
Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026?	Politics	Yes	$317	20.3¢
Will Adin Ross lose the most weight in Nozempic 2?	Culture	No	$316	90.3¢
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?	Politics	Yes	$314	20.3¢
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	Tech	Yes	$313	39.2¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 21% or more?	Politics	No	$308	93.0¢
Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?	Politics	Yes	$300	30.7¢
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Politics	No	$290	56.9¢
Will Te Pāti Māori be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	Politics	Yes	$278	19.3¢

Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?Politics
No$8.6k @ 90.6¢
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics
Yes$5.7k @ 96.9¢
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics
No$2.1k @ 96.3¢
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?Politics
Yes$1.7k @ 68.9¢
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics
No$1.6k @ 46.5¢
Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.90 ft MLLW or more?Science
Yes$1.1k @ 78.3¢
Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics
Yes$1.1k @ 41.0¢
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Politics
Yes$1000 @ 35.8¢
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?Politics
Yes$787 @ 17.8¢
Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?Science
Yes$779 @ 70.0¢
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?Politics
Yes$548 @ 94.3¢
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?Culture
Yes$497 @ 82.9¢
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$484 @ 47.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 0%-3%?Politics
Yes$416 @ 87.1¢
Will Haven be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?Sports
Yes$383 @ 34.3¢
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?Politics
Yes$382 @ 17.9¢
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics
Yes$376 @ 10.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics
No$345 @ 69.1¢
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics
Yes$342 @ 35.9¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 18% or more?Politics
No$337 @ 91.3¢
Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?Politics
Yes$326 @ 64.8¢
Will N3on lose the most weight in Nozempic 2?Culture
No$326 @ 95.2¢
Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026?Politics
Yes$317 @ 20.3¢
Will Adin Ross lose the most weight in Nozempic 2?Culture
No$316 @ 90.3¢
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?Politics
Yes$314 @ 20.3¢
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Tech
Yes$313 @ 39.2¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 21% or more?Politics
No$308 @ 93.0¢
Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Politics
Yes$300 @ 30.7¢
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
No$290 @ 56.9¢
Will Te Pāti Māori be part of the next Government of New Zealand?Politics
Yes$278 @ 19.3¢