← Market consensus
PoliticsActiveends Oct 4, 2026

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

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Yes

87.0¢

No

13.0¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢ smart-money trades
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Smart money here · 3 tracked sharps

Strong
No 99%Yes 1%
3 shown ·
No$645 @ 13.8¢
Conv
2.3×
ROI
+32%
Win%
38%
Yes$6 @ 75.4¢
Conv
1.9×
ROI
+8%
Win%
62%
Yes$4 @ 75.0¢
Conv
1.9×
ROI
+45%
Win%
49%